Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 11

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Elcyr Resende de Mendonca (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Usa	Fanatiz


	Boavista		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.95	2.08	Watch
	3.5	3.33	2.15
	3.4	3.28	2.15
	3.45	3.1	2.13	Watch
	3.5	2.95	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (3.97)	3.12 ↓ (3.32)	2.12 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista
26.7%

Draw
29.6%

Volta Redonda
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

27.9%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

26.9%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Volta Redonda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boavista - Volta Redonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diego Loureiro (G) 7. Abner Vinicius 4. Anderson Conceicao 23. Ben-Hur 32. Marcos Paulo 22. Martha 6. Matheus Mascarenhas 16. Rai 3. Sheldon 8. Ze Mateus 18. Ze Vitor	12. Jean Drosny (G) 5. Bruno Barra (C) 9. Bruno Santos 23. Cayo Tenorio 14. Chay 28. Gabriel Bahia 22. Juninho Monteiro 17. Kelvin 13. Lucas Souza 11. MV 2. Wellington Silva
Substitutes
12. Andre Luiz (G) 14. Caetano 11. Fellipe Resende 9. Gabriel Conceicao 20. Henrique Luiz 99. Khawhan 17. Rivas Torres R. D. 25. Thiago Ribeiro 15. Victor Yan 5. William Oliveira	1. Avelino (G) 26. Caceres L. 30. Caio Vitor 15. Enzo Zaidan 31. Gustavo (G) 21. Henrique Silva 25. Jhonny 7. Luciano Naninho 18. Marquinhos 19. Matheus Lucas 16. Wallace
Coaches
Roberto Fonseca	Rogerio Correa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Martha 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Marcos Paulo ⚽,
40', Gabriel Bahia ↓, Henrique Silva ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Chay ↓, Matheus Lucas ↑,
46', Du Fernandes ↓, Wallace ↑,
46', Kelvin ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Abner Vinicius ⚽,
53', Wellington Silva ↓, Jhonny ↑,
55', Abner Vinicius ↓, Fellipe Resende ↑,
67', Sheldon 🟨,
79', Anderson Conceicao 🟨,
80', Martha ↓, Victor Yan ↑,
81', Marcos Paulo ↓, Caetano ↑,
90+3', Ze Vitor ↓, Rivas Torres R. D. ↑,
90+4', Rai ↓, Gabriel Conceicao ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Volta Redonda is Qualified for Carioca (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boavista won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Volta Redonda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Boavista have a series of home games.

Volta Redonda will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Boavista won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24:15 (average 1.7:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista SC
Copa do Brasil
19.02.25	Boavista - CS Alagoano	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
15.02.25	Boavista - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Boavista - Portuguesa RJ	2:2 ✺
05.02.25	Bangu - Boavista	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Fluminense - Boavista	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LTTTT
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
16.02.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Volta Redonda	1:3 ✺
09.02.25	Volta Redonda - Nova Iguaçu	0:0 ✺
06.02.25	Volta Redonda - Maricá	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Vasco da Gama - Volta Redonda	2:2 ✺
29.01.25	Volta Redonda - Portuguesa RJ	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
21.01.24	Volta Redonda - Boavista	2:3
08.03.23	Boavista - Volta Redonda	3:3
05.02.22	Boavista - Volta Redonda	1:0
01.04.21	Volta Redonda - Boavista	3:1
16.02.20	Boavista - Volta Redonda	1:1
08.02.20	Boavista - Volta Redonda	2:1
24.03.19	Volta Redonda - Boavista	2:4

Boavista - Volta Redonda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide