Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 9

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca Deportes, Disney+
Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1


	Malmö		Västerås SK

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.9	4.5
	1.66	3.9	4.75
	1.72	3.9	4.35
	1.78	3.96	4.54
	1.74	3.96	4.42	Watch
	1.73	3.7	4.2
	1.74	3.88	4.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.64)	3.89 ↓ (4.08)	4.43 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
54.6%

Draw
24.2%

Västerås SK
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

23.2%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

22.9%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Västerås SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Västerås SK than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Malmö - Västerås SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Västerås SK will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Dahlin J. (C) 17. Stryger J. 4. Kurtulus B. 19. Rosler C. 23. John N. 37. Skogmar A. 7. Rosengren O. 6. Karabelyov Y. 47. Lundbergh T. 29. Haksabanovic S. 20. Botheim E.	34. Jager E. (G) 2. Magnusson H. (C) 4. Bonde P. 21. Wernersson V. 11. Gefvert S. 30. Hellisdal M. 8. Diagne M. 3. Baggesen M. 19. Magnusson J. 9. Ladefoged M. 5. Gunnarsson K.
Substitutes
25. Busanello 40. Busuladzic K. 5. Djuric A. 11. Ekong E. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 2. Karlsson J. 28. Milosavljevic J. 50. Nieroth W. (G) 24. Sjostrand O.	32. Abdi M. 17. Axel T. 22. Bark L. 1. Fagerstrom A. (G) 26. Hansas L. 15. Karlsson J. 20. Ljungqvist M. 23. Sibelius L. 24. Tagesson J.
Coaches
Ramirez M.	Rubin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 1 - 0, Skogmar A. ⚽, Lundbergh T. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Magnusson J. ⚽, Gefvert S. (A),
45+2', 1 - 2, Magnusson H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lundbergh T. ↓, Sjostrand O. ↑,
47', Karabelyov Y. 🟨,
57', Karabelyov Y. ↓, Busuladzic K. ↑,
57', John N. ↓, Busanello ↑,
62', Ladefoged M. 🟨,
62', Busuladzic K. 🟨,
71', Kurtulus B. 🟨,
72', Skogmar A. ↓, Gudjohnsen D. T. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Botheim E. ⚽, Gudjohnsen D. T. (A),
77', Wernersson V. ↓, Tagesson J. ↑,
77', Magnusson J. ↓, Axel T. ↑,
86', Baggesen M. ↓, Bark L. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 3, Ladefoged M. ⚽, Gefvert S. (A),
90+3', Hellisdal M. ↓, Abdi M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 13).

Malmö is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Västerås SK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Malmö is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Malmö: Ali T. (Inactive) Christiansen A. (Inactive) Jansson P. (Injury) Olsen R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Västerås SK: Boudah A. (Injury) Tagesson J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Västerås SK: Baggesen M. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

Vasteras SK: 0.49% Malmo FF: 0.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Vasteras SK	23	10	5	8	34:36	-2	35
8	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	37:33	4	33

Last Results with these Odds

Malmö - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.63%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.05.26	Hammarby - Malmö	4:1 ✺
10.05.26	Häcken - Malmö	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Malmö - Mjällby	2:3 ✺
27.04.26	AIK - Malmö	0:1 ✺
23.04.26	Malmö - Sirius	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL
- Västerås SK FK
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.05.26	Västerås SK - AIK	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Västerås SK - GAIS	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Hammarby - Västerås SK	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Brommapojkarna - Västerås SK	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Västerås SK - Häcken	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
02.03.25	Malmö - Västerås SK	3:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.10.24	Västerås SK - Malmö	1:1
20.04.24	Malmö - Västerås SK	1:0
Svenska Cupen
21.02.21	Malmö - Västerås SK	1:2

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