Match Info

Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 22

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Våg		Varhaug

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.70	2.25
	2.45	3.55	2.28
	2.26	3.58	2.57
	2.54	3.76	2.34	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.5
	2.36	4.3	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.4)	3.73 ↓ (4.2)	2.38 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Våg
38%

Draw
24.2%

Varhaug
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

21.7%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

21%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Våg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Varhaug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Våg than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varhaug than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Våg - Varhaug Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Wahlstrom C. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Mahlaw S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, Dvergsdal S. ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, Roppestad D. A. ⚽,
75', 4 - 1, Kovac A. ⚽,
88', Aarrestad N. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th and 4th).

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Våg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Våg has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Varhaug	22	10	6	6	41:34	7	36
9	Vag	22	9	2	11	35:38	-3	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Våg FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
26.09.26	Viking 2 - Våg	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Våg - Brodd	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Haugesund 2 - Våg	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Våg - Akra IL	3:2 ✺
30.08.26	Hinna - Våg	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTWWL
- Varhaug IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
25.09.26	Varhaug - Staal Jørpeland	4:2 ✺
19.09.26	Flekkerøy - Varhaug	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	Viking 2 - Varhaug	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Varhaug - Brodd	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Mandalskameratene - Varhaug	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
25.05.26	Varhaug - Våg	0:1

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