Match Info

NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - ROUND 20

Date: 27 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)

Referee: Hagenes K. (Nor)


	Vålerenga		Odd

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	5	Watch
	1.7	4.1	4.6
	1.76	3.83	4.93
	1.67	3.5	4.2
	1.75	3.82	4.55	Watch
	1.71	3.65	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.89)	3.75 ↑ (3.51)	4.66 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga
54.7%

Draw
25.1%

Odd
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.2%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

26.5%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vålerenga's performance.

Odd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vålerenga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odd than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	5.6%	27.8%

Vålerenga - Odd Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Vålerenga will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Odd will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vålerenga: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Storevik J. (G) 4. Strandberg S. (C) 33. Bitri E. 7. Jensen F. 20. Riisnaes M. 15. Hagen E. 8. Bjordal H. 24. Strand P. 11. Hakans D. 10. Ofkir M. 19. Ilic A.	1. Bratveit P. K. (G) 15. Solholm S. 21. Hagen S. (C) 5. Tomas D. 2. Ruud E. 17. Owusu S. 6. Owusu L. 3. Baccay J. 24. Gjengaar D. 7. Jorgensen F. 11. Midtskogen O.
Substitutes
2. Borchgrevink C. 9. Borven T. 17. Eng J. 3. Kjelsen A. 23. Kreuzriegler M. 14. Olsen A. 21. Sjoeng M. (G) 29. Vitinho 5. Zuta L.	16. Glenna C. 4. Hien L. 10. Ingebrigtsen M. 30. Klausen P. (G) 22. Mugeese Z. 20. Rekdal T. 26. Skau J. 14. Svendsen T. 19. Tewelde F.
Coaches
Bakke G.	Johansen P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vålerenga won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Vålerenga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vålerenga is a favorite.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Vålerenga won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 29-39.

Including matches at home between the teams Vålerenga won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.08.23	Molde - Vålerenga	0:0 ✺
13.08.23	Vålerenga - Haugesund	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Strømsgodset - Vålerenga	1:3 ✺
29.07.23	Vålerenga - Sandefjord	2:3 ✺
23.07.23	Odd - Vålerenga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTWLL
- Odds BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.08.23	Odd - Sarpsborg 08	0:3 ✺
06.08.23	Odd - Stabæk	4:0 ✺
30.07.23	Rosenborg - Odd	3:2 ✺
23.07.23	Odd - Vålerenga	2:1 ✺
16.07.23	Aalesunds - Odd	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
23.07.23	Odd - Vålerenga	2:1
22.10.22	Odd - Vålerenga	2:1
26.06.22	Vålerenga - Odd	0:1
27.11.21	Odd - Vålerenga	1:2
Norwegian NM Cup
22.09.21	Vålerenga - Odd	0:3
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.06.21	Vålerenga - Odd	1:1
08.11.20	Vålerenga - Odd	2:0

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