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Current Win Probability
Gimnasia La Plata 37.2%
Draw 32.7%
Tigre 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
32.5%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
33%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
42.9%
14.3%
Gimnasia La Plata - Tigre Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tigre will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Insfran N. (G) 31. Barros Schelotto B. 13. German Conti 21. Martinez E. 24. Silva Torrejon P. 18. Seoane M. 5. Miramon I. 8. Fernandez N. (C) 9. Zalazar M. 29. Auzmendi A. 17. Janson L.
12. Zenobio F. T. (C) 4. Moreno V. 20. Barrionuevo A. 32. Villalba J. 3. Banegas N. 27. Gonzalez S. 5. Leyes B. 11. Serrago T. 10. Saralegui J. 22. Lopez S. 29. Russo I.
Substitutes
33. Aguiar P. 19. Colazo A. 4. Giampaoli R. 27. Kadijevic J. (G) 16. Max A. 22. Melluso M. 7. Panaro M. 20. Perez J. 10. Schelotto N. 25. Steimbach A. 26. Torres F. 32. Torres M.
24. Alvarez F. 8. Garay M. 47. Lezcano A. 21. Medina S. 33. Mendez M. 40. Minniti L. 26. Morales L. (G) 50. Peluffo I. 23. Requena G. 72. Rivas M. 17. Soto G. 25. Subiabre I.
Coaches
Pereyra A.
Dabove D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Fernandez N. (Penalty Awarded),
45', Leyes B. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, German Conti ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Leyes B. ↓, Garay M. ↑,
46', Lopez S. ↓, Mendez M. ↑,
49', Seoane M. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Russo I. ⚽,
61', Zalazar M. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
62', Silva Torrejon P. ↓, Melluso M. ↑,
64', Zenobio F. T. 🟨,
65', Mendez M. 🟨,
66', Russo I. 🟨,
67', 2 - 1, Auzmendi A. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Seoane M. ↓, Colazo A. ↑,
69', Martinez E. 🟨,
77', Auzmendi A. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
77', Janson L. ↓, Steimbach A. ↑,
78', Gonzalez S. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
78', Moreno V. ↓, Peluffo I. ↑,
90+4', Miramon I. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Cortazzo J.
(Inactive)
Di Biasi F.
(Inactive)
Errecalde G.
(Muscle Injury)
Mammini I.
(Knee Injury)
Torres M.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Tigre: Arias R.
(Knee Injury)
Dubersarsky N.
(Inactive)
Laso J.
(Inactive)
Martinez P.
(Inactive)
Rivero S. G.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Tigre - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 28.37%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.