Match Info

Date: 8 December 2020, Tuesday


	Vélez Sársfield		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.5	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.9
	1.9	3.2	3.8	Watch
	1.89	3.35	4
	1.95	3.54	3.96
	1.95	3.3	4	Watch
	1.95	3.42	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.75)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	3.87 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
48.2%

Draw
27.8%

Universidad Católica
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

25.7%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

20.9%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Vélez Sársfield - Universidad Católica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Vélez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Universidad Católica is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vélez will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.12.20	Patronato Parana - Vélez Sársfield	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
01.12.20	Deportivo Cali - Vélez Sársfield	1:5 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.11.20	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.11.20	Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Cali	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.11.20	Huracán - Vélez Sársfield	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWLWW
- Universidad Católica
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.12.20	Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	Universidad Católica - LDU Quito	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.12.20	Universidad Católica - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.11.20	LDU Portoviejo - Universidad Católica	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLLW

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