Match Info

GEORGIA: CRYSTALBET EROVNULI LIGA 2 - ROUND 28

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday


	WIT Georgia		Samtredia

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.4	1.6
	5.11	3.51	1.6
	5.6	3.52	1.57
	5	3.5	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↑ (3.36)	3.48 ↑ (3.13)	1.6 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

WIT Georgia
17.6%

Draw
25.9%

Samtredia
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

28.6%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

28%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

WIT Georgia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that WIT Georgia's form might have worsened.

Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samtredia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for WIT Georgia than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for WIT Georgia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samtredia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

WIT Georgia - Samtredia Predictions

Users Predictions: Samtredia will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches WIT Georgia won 1.

Recent matches WIT Georgia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Samtredia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Samtredia have a series of home games.

Samtredia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches WIT Georgia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams WIT Georgia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- WIT Georgia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
23.10.22	Spaeri - WIT Georgia	4:0 ✺
15.10.22	WIT Georgia - Merani Tbilisi	2:3 ✺
09.10.22	WIT Georgia - Merani Martvili	5:3 ✺
01.10.22	Shukura Kobuleti - WIT Georgia	1:2 ✺
17.09.22	WIT Georgia - Rustavi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 LLWWT
- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
23.10.22	Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Samtredia - Spaeri	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Samtredia - Merani Tbilisi	4:1 ✺
30.09.22	Merani Martvili - Samtredia	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Samtredia - Shukura Kobuleti	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
04.09.22	Samtredia - WIT Georgia	3:0
05.05.22	Samtredia - WIT Georgia	3:1
02.03.22	WIT Georgia - Samtredia	0:0
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
15.12.18	WIT Georgia - Samtredia	4:0
12.12.18	Samtredia - WIT Georgia	2:2
01.03.15	WIT Georgia - Samtredia	0:1

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