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Current Win Probability
Wakiso Giants 53.4%
Draw 27.7%
Mbarara City 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.2%
27.7%
14.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.8%
26.1%
13.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wakiso Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wakiso Giants than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wakiso Giants, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mbarara City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
24. Lubega J. (G) 2. Bibo O. 29. Mbalire H. 15. Mtita S. 22. Mukiibi M. 3. Omoki G. 20. Oshaba M. 30. Oyamo T. 13. Ssemakula A. 18. Ssenfuka R. 12. Ssenyonjo H. (C)
1. Icumur A. (G) 23. Ahumuza W. 16. Arigumaho S. 15. Busolo P. 20. Hamza M. 9. Kitegenyi H. 5. Musisi M. 26. Namasa E. (C) 17. Nasur S. 4. Ndifuna B. 3. Owalamu M.
Substitutes
1. Alitho J. (G) 6. Arinda A. 25. Ayebare J. 10. Kizito L. 11. Kyeyune T. 28. Mulamba B. 21. Nsubuga S. 26. Oloya M. 14. Tumwine F.
21. Adinho G. 10. Jurua H. 28. Kalembo I. (G) 19. Kimera A. (G) 30. Mafabi Y. 25. Ndalambi J. 6. Odongo F. 18. Okwii A. 12. Onyango H. 11. Onzima P. 13. Othieno S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Mtita S. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Oshaba M. ↓, Mulamba B. ↑,
72', Nasur S. ↓, Odongo F. ↑,
72', Busolo P. ↓, Onzima P. ↑,
74', Mukiibi M. ↓, Kizito L. ↑,
74', Ssenfuka R. ↓, Oloya M. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Onzima P. ⚽,
83', Hamza M. 🟨,
88', Arigumaho S. ↓, Ndalambi J. ↑,
88', Hamza M. ↓, Adinho G. ↑,
88', 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wakiso Giants won 1.
Wakiso Giants has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Mbarara City has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Wakiso Giants is seen as the favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wakiso Giants won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Wakiso Giants won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).