Match Info

League Two - Round 39

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Bescot Stadium (Walsall)

Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)


	Walsall		AFC Wimbledon

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.2
	2.55	2.95	3	Watch
	2.43	2.87	3.27	Watch
	2.38	3	3.3
	2.34	3.16	3.06	Watch
	2.55	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.25)	3.02 ↓ (3.21)	3.12 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Walsall
38.8%

Draw
31.1%

AFC Wimbledon
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.2%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

29.4%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Walsall - AFC Wimbledon Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Walsall will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hornby S. (G) 4. McEntee O. 26. Okagbue D. 21. Allen T. 19. Asiimwe N. 22. Jellis J. 25. Stirk R. 8. Lakin C. 3. Gordon L. 9. Matt J. (C) 39. Johnson D.	1. Goodman O. (G) 26. Harbottle R. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 4. Reeves J. (C) 11. Neufville J. 8. Maycock C. 12. Smith A. 7. Tilley J. 18. Browne M. 14. Stevens M.
Substitutes
37. Adomah A. 11. Amantchi L. 14. Comley B. 5. Daniels D. 20. Hall G. 1. Simkin T. (G) 30. Weir E.	16. Ball J. 9. Bugiel O. 19. Foyo O. 10. Kelly J. 33. Ogundere I. 29. Sasu A. 22. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Sadler M. J.	Jackson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Matt J. 🟨,
41', Reeves J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', Stevens M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
66', Lakin C. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Bugiel O. ⚽,
74', Matt J. ↓, Amantchi L. ↑,
74', Johnson D. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
76', Browne M. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
77', Harbottle R. ↓, Ogundere I. ↑,
83', Jellis J. ↓, Weir E. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Allen T. ⚽,
88', Ogundere I. 🟨,
90+1', Sasu A. 🟨,
90+2', Maycock C. ↓, Ball J. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Walsall won 2.

Walsall is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Wimbledon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wimbledon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Walsall will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Walsall: Barrett C. (Yellow Cards) Earing J. (Ankle Injury) Hall G. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Wimbledon: Ball J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Walsall: Farquharson P. (Thigh Injury) Gordon J. (Hamstring Injury) Harrison E. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Walsall won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:19 (average 1.5:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Walsall won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Walsall FC
English League Two
22.03.25	Gillingham - Walsall	0:0 ✺
13.03.25	Bromley - Walsall	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Walsall - Grimsby Town	1:3 ✺
04.03.25	Carlisle United - Walsall	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Walsall - Swindon Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TTLTL
- AFC Wimbledon
English League Two
22.03.25	AFC Wimbledon - Barrow	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Carlisle United - AFC Wimbledon	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	AFC Wimbledon - Notts County	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
23.11.24	AFC Wimbledon - Walsall	0:1
27.04.24	AFC Wimbledon - Walsall	5:1
23.09.23	Walsall - AFC Wimbledon	1:3
28.03.23	AFC Wimbledon - Walsall	2:0
08.10.22	Walsall - AFC Wimbledon	3:1
English League One
12.02.19	Walsall - AFC Wimbledon	0:1
21.08.18	AFC Wimbledon - Walsall	1:3

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