Match Info

League Two - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	AFC Wimbledon		Notts County

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3.1
	2.4	3.1	3	Watch
	2.45	3.15	3.17
	2.42	3.02	3.12	Watch
	2.4	3	3.1
	2.44	3.13	3.12	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.28)	3.1 ↓ (3.27)	3.09 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
39.2%

Draw
30.3%

Notts County
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

28.9%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

AFC Wimbledon - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 26. Harbottle R. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 7. Tilley J. 12. Smith A. 4. Reeves J. 21. Hippolyte M. 11. Neufville J. 18. Browne M. 14. Stevens M.	1. Bass A. (G) 28. Macari L. 5. Platt M. 4. Bedeau J. 10. Jones J. 33. Abbott G. 18. Palmer M. 8. Austin S. 16. Whitaker C. 7. Traore M. 11. Grant C.
Substitutes
16. Ball J. 10. Kelly J. 8. Maycock C. 33. Ogundere I. 39. Pigott J. 29. Sasu A. 22. Ward L. (G)	22. Edwards C. 6. Hinchy J. 36. Jarvis W. 3. McDonald R. 30. Miller T. (G) 26. Morias J. 20. Robertson S.
Coaches
Jackson J.	Maynard S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Neufville J. ⚽, Lewis J. (A),
25', Macari L. 🟨,
32', Harbottle R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Harbottle R. ↓, Ogundere I. ↑,
54', Austin S. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
63', Browne M. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
70', Traore M. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
70', Grant C. ↓, Morias J. ↑,
72', Robertson S. 🟨,
78', Johnson R. 🟨,
81', Stevens M. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
82', Hippolyte M. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
90', Platt M. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Notts County is Qualified for League Two (Play Offs Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 4.

Recent performances by Wimbledon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Notts County is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wimbledon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

AFC Wimbledon - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.65%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League Two
10.05.25	Notts County - AFC Wimbledon	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	AFC Wimbledon - Chesterfield	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLLT
- Notts County
English League Two
10.05.25	Notts County - AFC Wimbledon	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Notts County - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Harrogate Town - Notts County	1:3 ✺
21.04.25	Notts County - Cheltenham Town	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Bradford City - Notts County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
10.05.25	Notts County - AFC Wimbledon	0:1
08.03.25	AFC Wimbledon - Notts County	2:0
19.10.24	Notts County - AFC Wimbledon	1:0
09.03.24	Notts County - AFC Wimbledon	0:2
25.11.23	AFC Wimbledon - Notts County	4:2
23.01.16	Notts County - AFC Wimbledon	0:2
19.09.15	AFC Wimbledon - Notts County	2:1

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