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Current Win Probability
Carlisle United 29.6%
Draw 31.4%
AFC Wimbledon 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
28.9%
41.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
29.2%
41.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Carlisle United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
40%
60%
Carlisle United - AFC Wimbledon Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Breeze G. (G) 2. Davies A. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 4. Thomas T. 3. Harper C. 11. Jones J. 8. Guy C. 16. Vela J. 40. Harris K. 19. Dennis M. 37. Bevan J.
1. Goodman O. (G) 41. Hutchinson S. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 11. Neufville J. 4. Reeves J. (C) 8. Maycock C. 12. Smith A. 3. Furlong J. 9. Bugiel O. 14. Stevens M.
Substitutes
44. Embleton E. 6. Hayden A. 9. Kelly G. 1. Lewis H. (G) 20. Scott C. 39. Wearne S. 43. Whelan C.
18. Browne M. 26. Harbottle R. 21. Hippolyte M. 10. Kelly J. 33. Ogundere I. 29. Sasu A. 22. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Hughes M
Jackson J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Maycock C. ⚽, Smith A. (A),
15', Furlong J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, Smith A. ⚽, Neufville J. (A),
54', Bevan J. ↓, Scott C. ↑,
66', Maycock C. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
66', Furlong J. ↓, Ogundere I. ↑,
66', Guy C. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
66', Vela J. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Dennis M. ⚽,
79', Stevens M. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
86', Jones J. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
86', Dennis M. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
87', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
90+1', Lavelle S. 🟨,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1.
Recent matches Carlisle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Wimbledon is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Wimbledon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Carlisle: Barclay B.
(Inactive)
Dummett P.
(Inactive)
McGeouch D.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Injury)
Wyke Ch.
(Broken ankle)
There will not play in Wimbledon: Ball J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Carlisle: Harper C.
(Injury)
McArthur C.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M.
(Inactive)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.4:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:6 (average 2.3:2).
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Breeze G. (G) 
Lavelle S. (C) 
Thomas T. 
Jones J. 
Lewis J. 
Furlong J. 
Bugiel O. 
Hippolyte M. 
Sasu A. 
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