The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bristol Rovers 34.3%
Draw 28%
Salford City 37.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39%
27.2%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
29.1%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
37.5%
37.5%
Bristol Rovers - Salford City Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Salford will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 4% โ 71%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Young B. (G) 2. James T. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 17. Kelly C. 4. Balmer K. 22. Gough K. 6. Mola C. 3. Sparkes J. 7. Forde S. 29. Cavegn F. 19. Harrison E.
1. Norris W. (G) 22. Oluwo A. 17. Scarr D. 24. Allen T. 43. Molyneux L. 21. Cesay K. 16. Bonds E. 44. Wiredu B. 29. Garbutt L. (C) 19. Graydon R. 23. Udoh D.
Substitutes
28. Appiah A. 32. Binns C. (G) 10. Kamwa B. 14. Purrington B. 9. Quigley J. 8. Russell-Denny R. 21. Smallwood R.
4. Aimson W. 2. Asiimwe N. 26. Burge L. (G) 18. Butcher M. 8. Grant J. 9. Langstaff M. 14. Odoh A.
Coaches
Evans S.
Cklamovski P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Wiredu B. ⚽, Cesay K. (A),
20', 0 - 2, Udoh D. ⚽, Molyneux L. (A),
29', Bonds E. 🟨,
37', Balmer K. 🟨,
38', Kelly C. 🟨,
41', Forde S. 🟨,
45+1', Graydon R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Garbutt L. 🟨,
54', Harrison E. (Penalty Awarded),
57', 1 - 2, Sparkes J. ⚽,
67', Bonds E. ↓, Butcher M. ↑,
67', Udoh D. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
67', Garbutt L. ↓, Aimson W. ↑,
67', Graydon R. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
69', Cavegn F. ↓, Russell-Denny R. ↑,
81', Sparkes J. ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
81', Harrison E. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
81', Forde S. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,
83', Molyneux L. ↓, Asiimwe N. ↑,
90+3', Gough K. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 9th and 1st in the Promotion - League One).
Recent results have been tough for Bristol Rovers (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Salford is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Bristol Rovers: Aitchison J.
(Inactive)
Harbottle R.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Salford: Powell J.
(Inactive)
Rose M.
(Leg Injury)
Woodburn B.
(Injury).
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Bristol Rovers has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bristol Rovers against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Salford
13
9
1
3
23:14
9
28
15
Bristol Rovers
13
5
1
7
16:20
-4
16
Outrights of English League Two for now
Salford: 9.17% Bristol Rovers: 8.1%
Last Results with these Odds
Salford City - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 33.8%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.