Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 29

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Walton & Hersham		Winchester City

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.3	4.9
	1.54	4.62	4.84
	1.56	4.49	4.94
	1.64	4.07	4.69
	1.51	4.3	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.42)	4.36 ↓ (4.65)	4.85 ↓ (5.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Walton & Hersham
59.7%

Draw
21.3%

Winchester City
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

19.6%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

18.5%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walton & Hersham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Winchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walton & Hersham than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walton & Hersham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Walton & Hersham - Winchester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Vigrass R. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Powell J. ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Wright T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
66', 2 - 2, Hill I. ⚽,
79', 3 - 2, Vigrass R. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 14).

Walton & Hersham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Winchester is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Walton & Hersham is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Walton & Hersham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Walton & Hersham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Walton & Hersham
English Southern League South Division
25.01.25	Gosport Borough - Walton & Hersham	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	Walton & Hersham - Hungerford Town	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Walton & Hersham - Totton	3:2 ✺
28.12.24	Merthyr Town - Walton & Hersham	5:2 ✺
26.12.24	Walton & Hersham - Bracknell Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWLW
- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
25.01.25	Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Winchester City - Frome Town	1:3 ✺
11.01.25	Basingstoke Town - Winchester City	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Winchester City - Marlow	3:1 ✺
01.01.25	Dorchester Town - Winchester City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
19.10.24	Winchester City - Walton & Hersham	2:1
20.01.24	Walton & Hersham - Winchester City	3:1
28.11.23	Winchester City - Walton & Hersham	2:1

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