Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 23

Date: 28 December 2024, Saturday


	Merthyr Town		Walton & Hersham

	1	X	2
	1.72	4.1	3.6
	1.8	4.26	3.38
	1.75	4.39	3.76	Watch
	1.65	4	3.75
	1.7	4.05	3.79
	1.72	4.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.8)	4.15 ↑ (4.04)	3.65 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merthyr Town
53%

Draw
22%

Walton & Hersham
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

22.6%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

21.5%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Walton & Hersham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walton & Hersham than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Merthyr Town - Walton & Hersham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', Eccleston J. 🟥,
7', 1 - 0, Twamley L. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Tobin J. ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, Simpson K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
66', 3 - 1, Twamley L. ⚽,
78', Evans J. 🟨,
81', 4 - 1, Simpson K. ⚽,
84', 5 - 1, Twamley L. ⚽,
90+3', 5 - 2, Body A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 6).

Merthyr in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Walton & Hersham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Walton & Hersham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Merthyr have a series of guest games.

Merthyr will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Merthyr to win the game is with odds 1.8.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:8 (average 2:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Merthyr won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
26.12.24	Hungerford Town - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
14.12.24	Poole Town - Merthyr Town	1:6 ✺
10.12.24	Taunton Town - Merthyr Town	2:3 ✺
30.11.24	Bracknell Town - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
26.11.24	Chertsey Town - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW
- Walton & Hersham
English Southern League South Division
26.12.24	Walton & Hersham - Bracknell Town	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Marlow - Walton & Hersham	2:3 ✺
14.12.24	Walton & Hersham - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
30.11.24	Tiverton Town - Walton & Hersham	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Walton & Hersham - Gloucester City	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
17.08.24	Walton & Hersham - Merthyr Town	5:2
23.03.24	Merthyr Town - Walton & Hersham	1:1
25.11.23	Walton & Hersham - Merthyr Town	2:3

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