Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 23

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Mourneview Park (Lurgan)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Glenavon		Dungannon Swifts

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.95
	3.7	3.32	1.94	Watch
	3.8	3.2	2
	3.76	3.2	1.92
	3.75	3.2	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.42)	3.24 ↓ (3.67)	1.95 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glenavon
24.7%

Draw
28.3%

Dungannon Swifts
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

25.1%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

24.6%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glenavon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Dungannon Swifts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts Predictions

Users Predictions: Dungannon Swifts will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dungannon Swifts will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Byrne M. (G) 25. Bosakani B. 3. Burns P. 5. Cartwright L. 8. Malone J. (C) 29. McGovern P. 2. McMullan J. 4. Murphy H. 31. Quinn N. 26. Smith C. 20. Wilson B.	12. Henderson A. (G) 13. Alves L. 34. Bigirimana G. (C) 10. Dillon K. 14. Glenny A. 6. Kelly T. 4. Maguire P. 26. Mitchell A. 40. Ogedi-Uzokwe J. 2. Scott S. 23. Wallace D.
Substitutes
10. Campbell P. 40. Hamill S. (G) 21. Kee J. 11. Mallon S. 15. McClelland K. 6. McKeown B.	31. Glass D. (G) 33. Johnston J. 8. Knowles J. 35. Liggett E. 19. Maguire T. 5. Marron C. 20. Smith M.
Coaches
O'Connor M.	McAree R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Scott S. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Wallace D. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Ogedi-Uzokwe J. ⚽,
65', Alves L. ↓, Maguire T. ↑,
70', Wilson B. ↓, Mallon S. ↑,
80', Malone J. 🟨,
81', Dillon K. ↓, Knowles J. ↑,
88', Quinn N. ↓, Kee J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 1.

Recent performances by Glenavon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dungannon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dungannon could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 34:26. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Glenavon won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 2.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glenavon FC
Northern Irish Premiership
26.12.25	Portadown - Glenavon	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Glenavon - Linfield	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Cliftonville - Glenavon	5:2 ✺
06.12.25	Glenavon - Bangor	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Glenavon - Ballymena United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWLLW
- Dungannon Swifts
Northern Irish Premiership
26.12.25	Dungannon Swifts - Bangor	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Dungannon Swifts - Portadown	4:2 ✺
13.12.25	Carrick Rangers - Dungannon Swifts	3:3 ✺
06.12.25	Ballymena United - Dungannon Swifts	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Dungannon Swifts - Larne	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
25.10.25	Dungannon Swifts - Glenavon	1:0
06.09.25	Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts	0:2
17.01.25	Dungannon Swifts - Glenavon	2:3
16.11.24	Dungannon Swifts - Glenavon	2:0
21.09.24	Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts	1:1
20.04.24	Dungannon Swifts - Glenavon	2:0
09.03.24	Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts	4:0

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