The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Warrenpoint Town 16.2%
Draw 18.5%
Crusaders 65.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.5%
23.4%
54.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.7%
19.7%
45.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Warrenpoint Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warrenpoint Town's form might have worsened.
Crusaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crusaders's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrenpoint Town than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warrenpoint Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (-19.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crusaders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
Crusaders will win
(16 of 16 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Powell R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Maguire T. 🟥,
60', 1 - 1, Rocks D. ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, Reid A. ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, Powell R. ⚽,
Extra Time (3 - 0)
94', 3 - 2, Powell R. ⚽,
115', 4 - 2, ⚽,
117', 5 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrenpoint Town won 0.
Warrenpoint Town has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Crusaders is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Crusaders holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Warrenpoint Town has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 18 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:53 (averaging 0.7:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Warrenpoint Town against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses, with 9:32 goals (averaging 0.8:2.7 per game).
United Kingdom
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