Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 34

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Guiseley		Workington

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.35	3.9
	1.81	3.47	4.1
	1.82	3.6	4.1	Watch
	1.8	3.1	3.9
	1.79	3.38	4.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.64)	3.38 ↓ (3.8)	4.01 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guiseley
50.4%

Draw
26.9%

Workington
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

24.5%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

25.7%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guiseley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guiseley's form might have worsened.

Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guiseley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Guiseley - Workington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Hopper D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, Thewlis J. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guiseley won 4.

Guiseley has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Workington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guiseley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guiseley could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guiseley won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 1.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Guiseley won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Guiseley	11	7	1	3	24:11	13	22
5	Workington	12	6	3	3	23:19	4	21

Last Results with these Odds

Guiseley - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.68%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
21.02.26	Guiseley - Warrington Town	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Ilkeston - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Guiseley - Lancaster City	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	Guiseley - Bamber Bridge	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Morpeth Town - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTLW
- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
28.02.26	Workington - Rushall Olympic	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Workington - Morpeth Town	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Workington	3:3 ✺
07.02.26	Workington - Ilkeston	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Prescot Cables - Workington	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
18.11.25	Workington - Guiseley	0:1
04.01.25	Workington - Guiseley	0:2
10.08.24	Guiseley - Workington	2:0
27.04.24	Workington - Guiseley	2:1
11.11.23	Guiseley - Workington	4:3
English National League North
21.04.14	Workington - Guiseley	1:1
26.08.13	Guiseley - Workington	1:0

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