Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 35

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Workington		Stocksbridge Park Steels

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.86	3.66	3.62
	1.86	3.86	3.67	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.81	3.52	3.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.32)	3.55 ↑ (3.33)	3.65 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Workington
49.4%

Draw
25.7%

Stocksbridge Park Steels
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.9%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

27.1%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Workington's performance.

Stocksbridge Park Steels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stocksbridge Park Steels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Workington that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stocksbridge Park Steels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Workington - Stocksbridge Park Steels Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Workington (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Workington (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Dickinson J. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 0, Hunter L. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Workington is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Stocksbridge has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Workington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Workington is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Workington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Workington: 1.98%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Workington	12	6	3	3	23:19	4	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
07.03.26	Guiseley - Workington	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Workington - Rushall Olympic	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Workington - Morpeth Town	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Workington	3:3 ✺
07.02.26	Workington - Ilkeston	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 TWWTW
- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English NPL Premier Division
07.03.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Hebburn Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	United of Manchester - Stocksbridge Park Steels	4:0 ✺
21.02.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Prescot Cables	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Warrington Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
01.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Workington	0:1

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