Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 40

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Warrington Town		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.9	4.33
	1.7	3.75	4.5
	1.66	4.13	4.63
	1.67	4.14	4.63
	1.62	4.1	4.62
	1.6	4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.71)	4 ↑ (3.76)	4.52 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrington Town
56.4%

Draw
23.1%

Gloucester City
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

24.7%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Warrington Town - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Warrington is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gloucester is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Warrington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Warrington is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Warrington won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Town
English National League North
12.03.24	Farsley - Warrington Town	0:2 ✺
05.03.24	Warrington Town - Southport	0:3 ✺
02.03.24	Warrington Town - Bishops Stortford	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Warrington Town - Brackley Town	2:2 ✺
20.02.24	Spennymoor Town - Warrington Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWTL
- Gloucester City
English National League North
12.03.24	Gloucester City - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Gloucester City - Boston United	3:7 ✺
24.02.24	Gloucester City - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
20.02.24	Buxton - Gloucester City	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Rushall Olympic - Gloucester City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
04.11.23	Gloucester City - Warrington Town	1:3

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