Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 18

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Warrington Town		Marske United

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.9	4
	1.68	3.75	3.65
	1.65	4.3	3.65
	1.65	4.23	4.23
	1.6	4.2	4
	1.63	3.92	4.45
	1.63	4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.63)	4.04 ↓ (4.16)	4.03 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrington Town
55.2%

Draw
22.4%

Marske United
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

21.8%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

20.5%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The chances for Marske United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marske United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Warrington Town - Marske United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Warrington will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Marske will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Warrington: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Warrington is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Marske is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Warrington is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Warrington to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Town
English NPL Premier Division
08.11.22	Whitby Town - Warrington Town	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Guiseley - Warrington Town	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Warrington Town - South Shields	3:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
22.10.22	Warrington Town - Matlock Town	3:1 ✺
18.10.22	Lancaster City - Warrington Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWWW
- Marske United
English NPL Premier Division
08.11.22	Marske United - Lancaster City	2:3 ✺
05.11.22	Marske United - Atherton Collieries	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Chasetown - Marske United	0:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
25.10.22	Matlock Town - Marske United	4:1 ✺
22.10.22	Hyde United - Marske United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL

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