Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 18

Date: 12 December 2023, Tuesday


	Marske United		Lancaster City

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.72
	4.33	3.6	1.7
	3.23	3.72	1.99
	3.23	3.72	1.99
	3.5	3.5	1.83
	4.15	3.84	1.67
	4.33	3.6	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (2.5)	3.65 ↑ (3.4)	1.8 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marske United
24.1%

Draw
25%

Lancaster City
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

26.4%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

26.4%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marske United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marske United's form might have worsened.

Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lancaster City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marske United than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marske United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lancaster City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marske United - Lancaster City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Lancaster could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lancaster will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Marske won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Marske won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marske United
English NPL Premier Division
25.11.23	Marske United - Gainsborough Trinity	3:2 ✺
11.11.23	Hyde United - Marske United	3:0 ✺
04.11.23	Marske United - Macclesfield Town	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Marske United	1:0 ✺
24.10.23	Marske United - Workington	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLLW
- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
28.11.23	Lancaster City - Whitby Town	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Lancaster City - Bradford Park Avenue	2:2 ✺
14.11.23	Lancaster City - Ashton United	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Lancaster City - United of Manchester	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Lancaster City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
28.02.23	Lancaster City - Marske United	2:0
08.11.22	Marske United - Lancaster City	2:3

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