Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 10

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday


	Needham Market		South Shields

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2
	3.1	3.3	2
	3.1	3.6	2.1
	3.2	3.47	2.16
	3.23	3.52	2.12	Watch
	3.17	3.42	2.11
	3.15	3.5	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.79)	3.47 ↑ (3.38)	2.07 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
29.3%

Draw
26.4%

South Shields
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

26.9%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

26.1%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

South Shields has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Needham Market - South Shields Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Lay J. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Morphew K. ⚽,
36', 3 - 0, Lambe R. ⚽,
40', Broadbent T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 14).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

South Shields will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

South Shields - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.49%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English National League North
21.09.24	Oxford City - Needham Market	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Needham Market - St Albans City	0:3 ✺
English National League North
07.09.24	Needham Market - Farsley	0:1 ✺
03.09.24	Hereford - Needham Market	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Warrington Town - Needham Market	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LLLWW
- South Shields FC
English National League North
21.09.24	South Shields - Chorley	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Macclesfield Town - South Shields	5:0 ✺
English National League North
07.09.24	Chester - South Shields	1:0 ✺
03.09.24	South Shields - Buxton	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Scarborough Athletic - South Shields	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLLWW

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