Match Info

Division 2 - Round 13

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion przy Drodze Dębińskiej (Poznań)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Warta Poznań		Hutnik

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.55	3.7
	1.84	3.75	3.85
	1.93	3.51	3.69	Watch
	1.8	3.65	3.71	Watch
	1.97	3.35	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	3.69 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
49.2%

Draw
25.8%

Hutnik
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

26.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

26.1%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Hutnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Warta Poznań - Hutnik Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Przybylak L. (G) 24. Avdeev D. 8. Kumoch K. (C) 2. Lepczynski K. 29. Rychert K. 99. Smoczynski M. 74. Steblecki S. 17. Stefaniak M. 19. Szymanek K. 7. Walus F. 4. Wojcinowicz T.	12. Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) 5. Burka D. 13. Gandziarowski M. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 8. Jopek S. 76. Kielis P. 77. Prusinski K. 24. Semik K. 9. Sliwa D. 10. Sowinski M. 6. Urbanczyk M.
Substitutes
20. Dziedzic K. 35. Jakubowski F. 1. Kosiorek J. (G) 13. Niedzielski J. . Rychlik J. 9. Stanek M. . Tonder F. . Wojciechowski I. . Zalewski S.	14. Bracik K. 47. Galek I. . Guerrier W. . Holuj F. . Motrycz A. 19. Rzepka K. . Szablowski K. 31. Zagrodnik J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Urbanczyk M. (Own goal),
40', Rychert K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Walus F. 🟨,
54', Steblecki S. 🟨,
55', Walus F. ↓, Dziedzic K. ↑,
55', Steblecki S. ↓, Niedzielski J. ↑,
55', Rychert K. ↓, Zalewski S. ↑,
55', Semik K. ↓, Rzepka K. ↑,
66', Jopek S. ↓, Motrycz A. ↑,
75', 🟨,
81', 2 - 0, Szymanek K. ⚽,
85', Stanek M. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Kielis P. ⚽,
90+3', Avdeev D. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Warta is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Hutnik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hutnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Warta has had a series of home games.

Warta could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 2
11.10.25	Warta Poznań - Olimpia Grudziądz	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Warta Poznań	2:3 ✺
26.09.25	Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:1 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Warta Poznań - Polonia Bytom	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
20.09.25	Warta Poznań - Sokół Kleczew	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWLW
- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
05.10.25	Hutnik - Swit Skolwin	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Sokół Kleczew - Hutnik	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Hutnik	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
20.09.25	Hutnik - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
17.09.25	Hutnik - GKS Jastrzębie	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWTW

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