Match Info

Division 1 - Round 33

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Respect Energy Stadium (Grodzisk Wielkopolski)

Referee: Wajda T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Warta Poznań		Odra Opole

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.8
	3.5	3.25	1.95
	4.2	3.45	1.86	Watch
	4.32	3.37	1.92
	4.4	3.4	1.84	Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.95
	4.17	3.38	1.83
	4.2	3.45	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (3.24)	3.36 ↑ (3.15)	1.88 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
22.9%

Draw
27.6%

Odra Opole
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

29.5%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warta Poznań's form might have worsened.

Odra Opole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Odra Opole's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odra Opole than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Odra Opole, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Warta Poznań - Odra Opole Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Odra Opole will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Odra Opole (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Przybylak L. (G) 2. Bartkowski J. 27. Przybylko K. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 37. Gryszkiewicz A. 26. Michalski K. 5. Tkachuk Y. 15. Kopczynski M. (C) 77. Walus F. 65. Shibata S. 18. Feliks M.	31. Abramowicz M. (G) 22. Spychala M. (C) 3. Piroch J. 2. Zemlo P. 24. Szrek J. 13. Purzycki A. 40. Tront D. 77. Szklinski S. 41. Prikryl T. 18. Mida S. 70. Kobusinski S.
Substitutes
10. Drzazga K. 9. Firlej M. 7. Gaska D. 19. Jozwicki K. 1. Kajzer D. (G) 3. Kielb J. 44. Markov I. 17. Sarbinowski S. 20. Szeliga B.	17. Bartosz J. 90. Dudzinski D. 30. Haluch A. (G) 27. Kaminski M. 9. Muratovic E. 94. Nowak K. 6. Pochciol J. 23. Wojcik A. (G) 20. Zawada O.
Coaches
Tarasiewicz R.	Skrobacz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Walus F. ⚽, Kopczynski M. (A),
31', Szrek J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Purzycki A. ↓, Dudzinski D. ↑,
46', Mida S. ↓, Nowak K. ↑,
47', Tront D. 🟨,
54', Nowak K. 🟨,
58', Shibata S. ↓, Firlej M. ↑,
59', Szklinski S. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
62', Tront D. ↓, Muratovic E. ↑,
63', Tkachuk Y. 🟨,
66', Zawada O. 🟨,
67', Prikryl T. 🟨,
69', Tkachuk Y. ↓, Gaska D. ↑,
83', Michalski K. ↓, Szeliga B. ↑,
83', Feliks M. ↓, Drzazga K. ↑,
89', Abramowicz M. ↓, Wojcik A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 13).

Warta is Relegated to Division 2

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warta won 2.

Warta is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Odra Opole has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Warta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Odra Opole is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Odra Opole will win today's game, with odds of 1.97.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Warta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Warta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
11.05.25	Chrobry Głogów - Warta Poznań	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Warta Poznań - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Warta Poznań - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:1 ✺
21.04.25	Miedź Legnica - Warta Poznań	3:2 ✺
11.04.25	Warta Poznań - Górnik Łęczna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Odra Opole
Polish Division 1
11.05.25	Odra Opole - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	4:2 ✺
04.05.25	Miedź Legnica - Odra Opole	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Odra Opole - Górnik Łęczna	0:0 ✺
23.04.25	Odra Opole - Stal Rzeszów	3:0 ✺
19.04.25	Arka Gdynia - Odra Opole	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
09.11.24	Odra Opole - Warta Poznań	0:0
13.06.20	Odra Opole - Warta Poznań	2:0
18.09.19	Warta Poznań - Odra Opole	3:0
28.04.19	Warta Poznań - Odra Opole	2:1
24.10.18	Odra Opole - Warta Poznań	2:1
Polish Division 2
11.03.17	Warta Poznań - Odra Opole	1:3
20.08.16	Odra Opole - Warta Poznań	4:1

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