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Current Win Probability
Śląsk Wrocław 23.2%
Draw 23.6%
Jagiellonia Białystok 53.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.9%
27.1%
39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
27.6%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Śląsk Wrocław's form might have worsened.
Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jagiellonia Białystok's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Śląsk Wrocław, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-15%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
Śląsk Wrocław - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 57.1% – 100%.
12. Leszczynski R. (G) 33. Matsenko Y. 3. Szota S. (C) 2. Paluszek A. 28. Marc L. B. 21. Baluta T. 7. Samiec-Talar P. 22. Zukowski M. 8. Pozo J. 26. Ince B. 9. Al Hamlawi A.
50. Abramowicz S. (G) 3. Stojinovic D. 72. Skrzypczak M. 23. Ebosse E. 44. Moutinho J. 14. Kubicki J. 20. Villar Miki 31. Flach L. 11. Imaz J. (C) 80. Pietuszewski O. 10. Pululu A.
Substitutes
6. Gerstenstein L. 78. Guercio T. 23. Jasper S. 13. Kurowski K. 1. Loska T. (G) 19. Ortiz A. 5. Petkov A. 18. Schierack S. 25. Udahl H.
21. Churlinov D. 82. Costa Silva T. 17. Dieguez A. 99. Hansen K. 86. Mazurek B. 5. Polak C. 51. Rybak A. 1. Stryjek M. (G) 71. Stypulkowski S.
Coaches
Simundza A.
Siemieniec A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Villar Miki ↓, Churlinov D. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Matsenko Y. ⚽, Leszczynski R. (A),
54', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
65', Matsenko Y. ↓, Guercio T. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽, Kubicki J. (A),
67', Moutinho J. 🟨,
72', Zukowski M. ↓, Jasper S. ↑,
72', Ince B. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
79', Ebosse E. ↓, Polak C. ↑,
83', Paluszek A. ↓, Petkov A. ↑,
83', Al Hamlawi A. ↓, Udahl H. ↑,
90+3', Ortiz A. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
Śląsk is Relegated to Division 1
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Jagiellonia might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Śląsk: Cebula M.
(Knee Injury)
Jezierski J.
(Yellow Cards)
Pokorny P.
(Knee Injury)
Swierczok J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Jagiellonia: Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
Wojtuszek N.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Diaby-Fadiga L.
(Inactive)
Ebosse E.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Śląsk won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Jagiellonia Białystok - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 39%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Finland
Germany
Poland
Serbia
Switzerland
Ukraine
World
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Leszczynski R. (G) 
Matsenko Y. 
Marc L. B. 
Baluta T. 
Ince B. 
Al Hamlawi A. 
Stojinovic D. 
Ebosse E. 
Moutinho J. 
Flach L. 
Pululu A. 
Jasper S. 
Udahl H. 
Churlinov D. 
