Match Info

Premier Division - Round 34

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sullivan & Lambe Park (Drogheda) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Keating L. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
International	18:45	LOI TV


	Drogheda United		Derry City

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.00	2.38	Watch
	2.95	3.10	2.30
	3.00	3.30	2.17
	2.93	3.44	2.46
	3.23	3.36	2.25	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.40
	2.89	3.30	2.38	Watch
	2.90	3.10	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.09)	3.24 ↓ (3.51)	2.33 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Drogheda United
31.5%

Draw
28.7%

Derry City
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.1%

26.6%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26.2%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Drogheda United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Drogheda United - Derry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Talley F. (G) 4. Quinn A. 22. Keeley C. (C) 5. Burney L. 2. Agbaje E. 8. O'Brien E. 17. Farrell S. 3. Kane C. 10. Kavanagh B. 24. Davis W. 11. Oluwa T.	13. Norcott T. (G) 23. Dummigan C. 4. Stott J. 3. McClean P. 19. Fleming B. 22. Barr C. 17. Twisk N. 14. Chapman E. 21. Santos K. 29. Smith T. 7. Duffy M. (C)
Substitutes
9. Ancelin K. 15. Bates A. 18. Bolger J. 31. Cruise K. 14. Doyle M. 6. Godden J. 36. Hennessy T. (G) 32. Mare D. 25. Markey R.	12. Burns D. 15. Clarke J. 32. Doherty T. 25. Grogan C. 24. Lyons-Foster B. 1. Maher B. (G) 10. Markey D. 34. O'Donnell C. 11. Whyte G.
Coaches
Doherty K.	Connolly M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Kavanagh B. ⚽,
23', Twisk N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Agbaje E. 🟨,
63', Santos K. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
63', Smith T. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
63', Oluwa T. 🟨,
69', Oluwa T. ↓, Doyle M. ↑,
69', Kavanagh B. ↓, Bates A. ↑,
75', Barr C. ↓, Whyte G. ↑,
77', Farrell S. ↓, Godden J. ↑,
79', Stott J. 🟨,
83', 2 - 0, Doyle M. ⚽,
87', Davis W. ↓, Ancelin K. ↑,
90+2', Godden J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Drogheda United won 2.

Drogheda United has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Derry is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Drogheda United could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Drogheda United has faced a series of away games on the road.

Derry is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Drogheda United: Ancelin K. (Muscle Injury) Lambe O. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Derry: Markey D. (Injury) Winchester C. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Derry: McClean J. (Inactive).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Drogheda United has recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:28 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Drogheda United against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:8 goals (averaging 1.1:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Derry City	35	11	14	10	48:45	3	47
9	Drogheda	35	9	10	16	42:57	-15	37

Last Results with these Odds

Drogheda United - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.13%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Derry City - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.32%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Drogheda United
Irish Premier Division
08.10.26	Shamrock Rovers - Drogheda United	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Trabzonspor - Drogheda United	0:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
18.09.26	Bohemians Dublin - Drogheda United	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Shelbourne - Drogheda United	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Drogheda United - Sligo Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 LWLWW
- Derry City
Irish FAI Cup
10.10.26	Galway United - Derry City	0:2 ✺
Irish Premier Division
18.09.26	Derry City - Galway United	1:0 ✺
14.09.26	Waterford - Derry City	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	Shelbourne - Derry City	0:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
06.09.26	Derry City - Dundalk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
26.06.26	Derry City - Drogheda United	2:0
08.05.26	Drogheda United - Derry City	1:0
20.03.26	Derry City - Drogheda United	2:2
26.09.25	Drogheda United - Derry City	1:1
Irish FAI Cup
16.08.25	Derry City - Drogheda United	1:2 penalties
Irish Premier Division
27.06.25	Derry City - Drogheda United	3:0
16.05.25	Drogheda United - Derry City	1:1

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