The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Drogheda United 30.4%
Draw 29.7%
Derry City 39.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
29.8%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
30.2%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Drogheda United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
42.9%
42.9%
Drogheda United - Derry City Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Drogheda United will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Derry will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Talley F. (G) 2. Agbaje E. 22. Keeley C. 18. Bolger J. 3. Kane C. 17. Farrell S. 19. Brennan R. (C) 24. Davis W. 10. Kavanagh B. 11. Oluwa T. 14. Doyle M.
13. Beach E. (G) 22. Barr C. 4. Stott J. 3. McClean P. 19. Fleming B. 8. O'Reilly A. 20. Winchester C. 21. Santos K. 10. Markey D. 7. Duffy M. (C) 15. Clarke J.
Substitutes
29. Brennan J. 7. Bucknor J. 5. Burney L. 31. Cruise K. 1. Dennison L. (G) 6. Godden J. 15. Kareem D. 30. O'Connor C. 4. Quinn A.
9. Akinyemi D. 25. Bannon A. 26. Callister S. (G) 2. Cotter B. 14. Doherty B. 23. Dummigan C. 28. Olayinka J. 24. Rylah H. 17. Thomas J.
Coaches
Doherty K.
Lynch T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Brennan R. 🟨,
42', Fleming B. 🟨,
45', Markey D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Brennan R. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Doyle M. ↓, Bucknor J. ↑,
70', Markey D. ↓, Cotter B. ↑,
71', Duffy M. ↓, Akinyemi D. ↑,
71', Santos K. ↓, Rylah H. ↑,
72', Brennan R. ↓, Godden J. ↑,
73', Farrell S. 🟨,
85', Barr C. ↓, Dummigan C. ↑,
89', Kavanagh B. ↓, Quinn A. ↑,
90+2', O'Reilly A. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Drogheda United won 1.
Drogheda United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Derry is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Derry is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Drogheda United: Bosakani B.
(Inactive)
Brady S.
(Inactive)
Lambe O.
(Knee Injury)
O'Brien E.
(Injury)
There will not play in Derry: Boyce L.
(Inactive)
Maher B.
(Inactive)
Slevin R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Derry: McClean J.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Drogheda United won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Drogheda United won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).