The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Waterford 35.5%
Draw 26.2%
Derry City 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
27%
43.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
27.8%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waterford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Waterford's performance.
Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Waterford that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derry City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Waterford - Derry City Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Derry (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Derry (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McMullan S. (G) 16. Cann H. 5. Mahon J. 13. Long K. 3. Couto B. 20. Voilas J. 8. McLaughlin E. 7. Mawene N. 10. Noonan C. 18. Lonergan T. 9. Amond P. (C)
13. Norcott T. (G) 23. Dummigan C. 4. Stott J. 3. McClean P. 12. Burns D. 17. Twisk N. 8. O'Reilly A. 19. Fleming B. 27. Boyce L. 7. Duffy M. (C) 15. Clarke J.
Substitutes
32. Amedu G. 6. Ashton J. 56. Brennan A. 21. Doherty A. (G) 17. Faria J. 19. Glenfield S. 15. Heeney L. 12. McKenzie B. 27. McMenamy D.
22. Barr C. 14. Chapman E. 25. Grogan C. 24. Lyons-Foster B. 1. Maher B. (G) 28. Olayinka J. 21. Santos K. 29. Smith T. 11. Whyte G.
Coaches
Coughlan G.
Connolly M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, O'Reilly A. ⚽, Clarke J. (A),
11', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
45', Clarke J. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, McLaughlin E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, Duffy M. ⚽, Fleming B. (A),
57', 2 - 2, Amond P. ⚽, Couto B. (A),
64', Boyce L. 🟨,
64', McLaughlin E. ↓, Glenfield S. ↑,
64', Mawene N. ↓, Heeney L. ↑,
64', Noonan C. ↓, McMenamy D. ↑,
73', Glenfield S. 🟨,
73', Clarke J. ↓, Chapman E. ↑,
74', Burns D. 🟨,
76', Burns D. ↓, Santos K. ↑,
88', Connolly M. 🟨,
88', Grogan C. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 1.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Waterford: Glenfield S.
(Inactive)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Derry: Markey D.
(Injury)
Winchester C.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Derry: McClean J.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:45. (average 1.3:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Waterford won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
World
Watch
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McMullan S. (G) 
Cann H. 
Mahon J. 
Couto B. 
Voilas J. 
Twisk N. 
Amedu G. 
Faria J. 
McKenzie B. 
