Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 16

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Watford		Rotherham United

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	9
	1.42	4.5	8
	1.4	4.42	8.75
	1.43	4.67	8.57
	1.43	4.67	8.57
	1.4	4	8
	1.42	4.5	7.9	Watch
	1.42	4.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)	4.47 ↑ (4.23)	8.35 ↑ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Watford
67.3%

Draw
21.3%

Rotherham United
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

22.3%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

21.8%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Watford - Rotherham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Rotherham will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rotherham: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Hamer B. (G) 45. Andrews R. 5. Porteous R. 4. Hoedt W. (C) 6. Lewis J. 8. Livermore J. 39. Kayembe E. 11. Kone I. 12. Sema K. 9. Rajovic M. 18. Asprilla Y.	1. Johansson V. (G) 2. Lembikisa D. 23. Morrison S. (C) 21. Peltier L. 28. Revan S. 3. Bramall C. 8. Clucas S. 27. Tiehi C. 18. Rathbone O. 10. Hugill J. 29. Nombe S.
Substitutes
19. Bayo V. 16. Chakvetadze G. 24. Dele-Bashiru T. 14. Healey R. 7. Ince T. 10. Louza I. 37. Matheus Martins 15. Pollock M. 40. Roberts M. (G)	30. Appiah A. 4. Ayala D. 7. Cafu 9. Eaves T. 12. Kelly G. 16. Lindsay J. 22. Odoffin H. 14. Onyedinma F. 26. Phillips D. (G)
Coaches
Ismael V.	Taylor M.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 16 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Watford won 3.

Watford is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Rotherham is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rotherham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Watford is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Rotherham: Blackett T. (Muscle Injury) Ferguson S. (Hernia) Green A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Hall G. (Muscle Injury) Humphreys C. (Muscle Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Watford won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Watford FC
English League Championship
04.11.23	Huddersfield Town - Watford	0:0 ✺
28.10.23	Watford - Millwall	2:2 ✺
24.10.23	Swansea City - Watford	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Watford - Sheffield Wednesday	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Cardiff City - Watford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWWT
- Rotherham United
English League Championship
07.11.23	Rotherham United - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
04.11.23	Rotherham United - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Rotherham United	2:0 ✺
25.10.23	Rotherham United - Coventry City	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Southampton - Rotherham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
21.01.23	Watford - Rotherham United	1:1
03.09.22	Rotherham United - Watford	1:1
16.03.21	Rotherham United - Watford	1:4
08.12.20	Watford - Rotherham United	2:0
24.02.15	Watford - Rotherham United	3:0
19.08.14	Rotherham United - Watford	0:2

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