Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 11

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Referee: Busby J. (Eng)


	Southampton		Rotherham United

	1	X	2
	1.3	6	9.5
	1.3	5.75	9.5
	1.29	5.42	10.75	Watch
	1.31	5.76	10.25
	1.25	5.5	11
	1.29	5.65	9.8	Watch
	1.29	5.8	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.43)	5.7 ↑ (4.72)	10.06 ↑ (6.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
73.8%

Draw
16.7%

Rotherham United
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

20%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

19.4%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southampton's performance.

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southampton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	11.8%	17.6%

Southampton - Rotherham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Rotherham will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bazunu G. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 21. Harwood-Bellis T. 35. Bednarek J. 3. Manning R. 16. Smallbone W. 4. Downes F. 17. Armstrong S. 9. Armstrong A. (C) 10. Adams C. 20. Sulemana K.	1. Johansson V. (G) 2. Lembikisa D. 21. Peltier L. 20. Hall G. 3. Bramall C. 27. Tiehi C. 7. Cafu 18. Rathbone O. (C) 11. Green A. 29. Nombe S. 14. Onyedinma F.
Substitutes
22. Alcaraz C. 7. Aribo J. 14. Bree J. 24. Charles S. 23. Edozie S. 26. Fraser R. 6. Holgate M. 18. Mara S. 1. McCarthy A. (G)	30. Appiah A. 8. Clucas S. 9. Eaves T. 10. Hugill J. 12. Kelly G. 35. McGuckin C. 26. Phillips D. (G) 28. Revan S.
Coaches
Martin R.	Taylor M.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Recent matches S`hampton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rotherham has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rotherham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match S`hampton is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in S`hampton: Larios J. (Muscle Injury) Stephens J. (Calf Injury) Stewart R. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Rotherham: Ferguson S. (Hernia) Humphreys C. (Muscle Injury) Lindsay J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Morrison S. (Calf Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English League Championship
03.10.23	Stoke City - Southampton	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Southampton - Leeds United	3:1 ✺
23.09.23	Middlesbrough - Southampton	2:1 ✺
19.09.23	Southampton - Ipswich Town	0:1 ✺
15.09.23	Southampton - Leicester City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLL
- Rotherham United
English League Championship
04.10.23	Rotherham United - Bristol City	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Cardiff City - Rotherham United	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Rotherham United - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
20.09.23	Millwall - Rotherham United	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	Huddersfield Town - Rotherham United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

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