The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cardiff City 50.8%
Draw 24.1%
Watford 25.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.9%
23.8%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
21.1%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cardiff City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 21st and 20th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 3.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Cardiff carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:23 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cardiff against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:18 goals (averaging 1.3:2 per game).