Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 10

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Grosvenor Vale (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, National League TV


	Wealdstone		Barnet

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.62	Watch
	4.33	3.75	1.6
	4.5	4.2	1.63
	4.93	4.24	1.62
	4.67	4.03	1.66	Watch
	4.2	3.9	1.67
	4.63	4.15	1.61	Watch
	4.5	4.2	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (3.82)	4.03 ↑ (3.77)	1.63 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wealdstone
20.3%

Draw
22.9%

Barnet
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

24.5%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

23.9%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Wealdstone - Barnet Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Wealdstone will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Barnet will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Howes S. (G) 6. Barrett M. 7. Boldewijn E. 21. Cesay K. 2. Cook J. 5. Dyer A. 19. Mariappa A. (C) 29. McFarlane C. 14. Obiero M. 26. Thorpe E. 25. Wells-Morrison J.	1. Hayes N. (G) 8. Browne R. 17. Brunt Z. 12. Chapman H. 3. Coker B. 15. Glover R. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 26. Kenlock M. 22. Oluwo A. 19. Shelton M. 25. Tavares N.
Substitutes
13. Adams J. (G) 20. Ashford S. 3. Georgiou A. 17. Hutchinson D. 23. Mundle-Smith J. 24. Sandat H. 18. Scott C.	32. Cropper J. 13. Gillmore J. (G) 33. Hobson B. 9. Kabamba N. 11. Kanu I. 30. Kizzi J. 10. Stead C.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wealdstone won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Barnet is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Wealdstone won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Wealdstone won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wealdstone
English National League
14.09.24	Forest Green Rovers - Wealdstone	2:2 ✺
10.09.24	Woking - Wealdstone	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Wealdstone - York City	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	Solihull Moors - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Wealdstone - Fylde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLLTW
- Barnet
English National League
14.09.24	Barnet - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
10.09.24	Barnet - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Gateshead - Barnet	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Barnet - Tamworth	7:0 ✺
26.08.24	Maidenhead United - Barnet	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
03.02.24	Barnet - Wealdstone	1:1
25.11.23	Wealdstone - Barnet	3:2
25.03.23	Wealdstone - Barnet	0:2
03.12.22	Barnet - Wealdstone	2:0
12.02.22	Barnet - Wealdstone	1:3
13.11.21	Wealdstone - Barnet	1:0
05.04.21	Wealdstone - Barnet	5:1

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