Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 9

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)


	Barnet		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	8
	1.34	4.6	6.75
	1.36	5	7.5
	1.35	5.03	8.14
	1.36	4.81	8.2	Watch
	1.33	4.6	7.5
	1.35	4.8	7.75
	1.36	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.39)	4.79 ↑ (4.58)	7.67 ↓ (7.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
68.6%

Draw
19.3%

Braintree Town
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

20.4%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

19.9%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Barnet - Braintree Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayes N. (G) 17. Brunt Z. 12. Chapman H. 3. Coker B. 15. Glover R. 23. Grimwood J. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 26. Kenlock M. 22. Oluwo A. 19. Shelton M. 10. Stead C.	33. Covolan L. (G) 14. Akinde J. 5. Annesley L. 7. Blackwell T. 9. Effiong I. 12. Fyfield J. 4. Langston G. (C) 8. Marshall-Miranda M. 10. Powell C. 15. Terry F. 6. Vennings J.
Substitutes
8. Browne R. 32. Cropper J. 13. Gillmore J. (G) 33. Hobson B. 30. Kizzi J. 6. Okimo J. 5. Rye J.	11. Cooper C. 19. Lambe R. 16. Lisbie K. J. 17. Lock P. 18. Robinson M. 21. Ward C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Akinde J. ⚽, Langston G. (A),
4', 1 - 1, Shelton M. ⚽, Stead C. (A),
17', 2 - 1, Stead C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fyfield J. ↓, Robinson M. ↑,
51', Blackwell T. ↓, Cooper C. ↑,
51', Grimwood J. ↓, Kizzi J. ↑,
56', Marshall-Miranda M. 🟨,
62', Chapman H. ↓, Browne R. ↑,
63', Akinde J. 🟨,
70', Coker B. ↓, Cropper J. ↑,
75', Marshall-Miranda M. ↓, Lambe R. ↑,
75', Stead C. ↓, Hobson B. ↑,
78', Shelton M. 🟨,
83', 3 - 1, Langston G. (Own goal),
90', Effiong I. ↓, Lock P. ↑,
90+4', Lambe R. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnet won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Barnet is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Barnet won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnet won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English National League
10.09.24	Barnet - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Gateshead - Barnet	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Barnet - Tamworth	7:0 ✺
26.08.24	Maidenhead United - Barnet	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Barnet - Southend United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLW
- Braintree Town
English National League
10.09.24	York City - Braintree Town	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Braintree Town - Woking	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Hartlepool United - Braintree Town	0:0 ✺
26.08.24	Braintree Town - Ebbsfleet United	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Solihull Moors - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
19.01.19	Braintree Town - Barnet	4:0
English FA Cup
20.10.18	Barnet - Braintree Town	4:2
English National League
07.08.18	Barnet - Braintree Town	1:1
Club Friendly
25.07.17	Braintree Town - Barnet	1:3
English National League
21.10.14	Barnet - Braintree Town	3:0
30.09.14	Braintree Town - Barnet	1:1
21.04.14	Barnet - Braintree Town	1:1

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