The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tamworth 47.4%
Draw 24.7%
Wealdstone 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.8%
24%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
24%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Wealdstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Tamworth - Wealdstone Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Singh J. (G) 2. Lyttle T. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 12. Rye J. 16. Calder R. 7. Acquaye B. 8. Milnes B. (C) 30. Roberts M. 10. Donnelly K. 20. Tshikuna N. 25. Howley R.
1. Baptiste D. (G) 18. Smith K. 15. Henry A. 12. Francis-Clarke A. 22. McAvoy C. (C) 6. Barrett M. 11. Chesters D. 8. Kadji D. 4. Wells-Morrison J. 9. Olomola O. 10. Harris J. J.
Substitutes
6. Bramble T. 14. Dyson O. 23. Hutchinson J. 4. Kurtaran T. 39. Lovett R. (G) 19. McGlinchey T. 5. Parkes T.
2. Cook J. 13. Johnson E. (G) 29. Kaunda A. 27. Newton T. 7. Norris L. 19. Waweru W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Olomola O. ⚽, Francis-Clarke A. (A),
31', Smith K. ↓, Newton T. ↑,
36', Milnes B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Harris J. J. 🟨,
61', Harris J. J. ↓, Norris L. ↑,
68', McAvoy C. 🟥,
69', 1 - 1, Tshikuna N. ⚽,
71', Olomola O. ↓, Cook J. ↑,
75', Roberts M. ↓, McGlinchey T. ↑,
79', Acquaye B. ↓, Hutchinson J. ↑,
88', Howley R. 🟨,
90+1', Howley R. ↓, Bramble T. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 1, Hutchinson J. ⚽, McGlinchey T. (A),
90+10', Kadji D. 🟨,
90+10', 🟨,
90+10', Barrett M. 🟨,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 22nd in the Relegation and 19th).
Tamworth has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Wealdstone have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tamworth holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Tamworth has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:5 (averaging 2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tamworth against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
18
Tamworth
13
4
2
7
21:30
-9
14
19
Wealdstone
13
3
3
7
17:24
-7
12
Last Results with these Odds
Tamworth - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.82%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.