Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 11

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: BRITA-Arena (Wiesbaden)

Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 9
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball app


	Wehen Wiesbaden		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.2
	2.95	3.6	2.15
	3	3.75	2.15
	3.05	3.91	2.2
	2.98	3.75	2.16	Watch
	2.88	3.5	2.1
	3.05	3.62	2.09	Watch
	3	3.75	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.12)	3.66 ↑ (3.64)	2.15 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wehen Wiesbaden
31.2%

Draw
25.5%

Dynamo Dresden
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

25.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wehen Wiesbaden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	7.7%	61.5%

Wehen Wiesbaden - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Wehen will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Stritzel F. (C) 17. Carstens F. 39. Hubner F. 33. Luckeneder F. 20. Johansson R. 11. Gozusirin T. 6. Fechner G. 18. Greilinger F. 8. Batzner N. 29. Kaya F. 28. Flotho M.	1. Schreiber T. (G) 15. Kammerknecht C. 29. Boeder L. 23. Bunning L. 32. Sterner J. 27. Hauptmann N. 5. Sapina V. 16. Heise P. 24. Menzel T. 30. Kutschke S. (C) 33. Daferner C.
Substitutes
25. Agrafiotis N. 7. Franjic I. 19. Jacobsen B. 15. Janitzek J. 14. Kiomourtzoglou O. 1. Lyska A. (G) 4. Mockenhaupt S. 37. Nink B. 21. Wohlers O.	7. Batista Meier O. 17. Casar A. 39. Kubatta D. 10. Lemmer J. 26. Marx J. H. 21. Meissner R. 37. Mesenholer D. (G) 25. Oehmichen J. 28. Risch S.
Coaches
Doring N.	Stamm T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Kaya F. ⚽, Batzner N. (A),
38', Hubner F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Fechner G. 🟨,
58', Bunning L. 🟨,
65', Fechner G. ↓, Kiomourtzoglou O. ↑,
65', Johansson R. ↓, Mockenhaupt S. ↑,
71', Daferner C. ↓, Meissner R. ↑,
71', Bunning L. ↓, Casar A. ↑,
72', Kaya F. ↓, Franjic I. ↑,
77', Kutschke S. 🟥,
81', Casar A. 🟨,
83', Flotho M. ↓, Agrafiotis N. ↑,
83', Hubner F. ↓, Jacobsen B. ↑,
84', Menzel T. ↓, Oehmichen J. ↑,
84', Hauptmann N. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
90', Luckeneder F. 🟨,
90+3', Kammerknecht C. ↓, Kubatta D. ↑,
90+4', Sapina V. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wehen won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Wehen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dynamo Dresden will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wehen: Amsif M. (Injury)

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Park K. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Wehen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7:17 (average 0.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Wehen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 3 Bundesliga
19.10.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Hannover II	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Karlsruher - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:3 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
05.10.24	1860 München - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:3 ✺
28.09.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Osnabrück	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWWL
- Dynamo Dresden
German 3 Bundesliga
20.10.24	Dynamo Dresden - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:3 ✺
04.10.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Dynamo Dresden - Alemannia Aachen	0:0 ✺
25.09.24	Verl - Dynamo Dresden	0:3 ✺
21.09.24	Dynamo Dresden - Hansa Rostock	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
06.05.23	Dynamo Dresden - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1
08.11.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Dynamo Dresden	1:0
22.05.21	Wehen Wiesbaden - Dynamo Dresden	0:1
17.03.21	Dynamo Dresden - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:0
German 2 Bundesliga
06.06.20	Wehen Wiesbaden - Dynamo Dresden	2:3
08.11.19	Dynamo Dresden - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:0
German 3 Bundesliga
23.04.16	Dynamo Dresden - Wehen Wiesbaden	4:0

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