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Current Win Probability
Erzgebirge Aue 33%
Draw 26.3%
Wehen Wiesbaden 40.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
26.7%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
26.1%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Wehen Wiesbaden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wehen Wiesbaden's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erzgebirge Aue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wehen Wiesbaden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Erzgebirge Aue - Wehen Wiesbaden Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Wehen will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Wehen (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wehen (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Lord L. (G) 23. Barylla A. 16. Malone R. 25. Zobel T. 29. Collins J. 39. Schmid M. 20. Fabisch J. 13. Majetschak E. 7. Weinhauer E. 15. Bar M. 9. Bornschein R.
16. Stritzel F. (G) 24. Neubert T. 27. Gillekens J. 15. Janitzek J. 4. Mockenhaupt S. 8. Bogicevic D. 11. Gozusirin T. 5. May N. 29. Kaya F. (C) 28. Flotho M. 10. Kalem R.
Substitutes
10. Gunther-Schmidt J. 19. Guttau J. 1. Mannel M. (G) 45. Ocansey V. A. F. 30. Seiffert M. 11. Uhlmann E.
25. Agrafiotis N. 31. Brdar N. (G) 18. Greilinger F. 26. Lewald J. 22. Nejad M. 17. Nink B. 37. Schleimer L. 9. Stehle S. F. 47. Suarez D.
Coaches
Shubitidze K.
Scherning D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Flotho M. ⚽, Mockenhaupt S. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Zobel T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mockenhaupt S. ↓, Nink B. ↑,
57', Neubert T. 🟨,
60', Bar M. ↓, Gunther-Schmidt J. ↑,
60', Barylla A. ↓, Seiffert M. ↑,
61', 🟨,
65', Kalem R. ↓, Schleimer L. ↑,
65', Neubert T. ↓, Lewald J. ↑,
67', May N. 🟨,
69', May N. 🟨,
73', Kaya F. ↓, Greilinger F. ↑,
75', Majetschak E. ↓, Uhlmann E. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Gozusirin T. ⚽,
82', Schmid M. ↓, Ocansey V. A. F. ↑,
82', Bogicevic D. ↓, Agrafiotis N. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Seiffert M. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 3.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Aue won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
19
Wehen
7
1
2
4
5:13
-8
5
Last Results with these Odds
Erzgebirge Aue - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.04%, but this team recently wins 19% of matches with these odds.
Wehen Wiesbaden - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.29%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Germany
World
Watch
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Lord L. (G) 
Malone R. 
Collins J. 
Fabisch J. 
Gillekens J. 
Agrafiotis N. 
Suarez D. 
Shubitidze K. 
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