Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 24

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday


	Welling United		Brentwood Town

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.6	2.02
	2.75	4.35	2.03	Watch
	2.75	3.8	2
	2.89	3.64	2.08
	2.8	3.8	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.59)	3.84 ↓ (4.01)	2.05 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
32%

Draw
23.7%

Brentwood Town
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

22.6%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

22.3%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Welling United's performance.

Brentwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brentwood Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Welling United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentwood Town than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brentwood Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Welling United - Brentwood Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Welling (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Welling (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Kymani T. (Penalty Awarded),
25', 0 - 2, Hughes C. ⚽,
26', 0 - 3, Hughes C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 3, Sach B. ⚽,
82', 1 - 4, Olukolu J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Welling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Brentwood has had a series of home games.

Brentwood might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Welling won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.12.25	Lewes - Welling United	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Whitehawk - Welling United	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Welling United - Cheshunt	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Welling United - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Billericay Town - Welling United	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWLL
- Brentwood Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.12.25	Brentwood Town - Potters Bar Town	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Brentwood Town - Hashtag United	2:0 ✺
09.12.25	Brentwood Town - Cheshunt	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Folkestone Invicta - Brentwood Town	1:0 ✺
28.11.25	Brentwood Town - Aveley	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Brentwood Town - Welling United	3:0

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