Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 21

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Whitehawk		Welling United

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.55	3.1
	1.96	3.79	3.22
	1.95	3.85	3.17	Watch
	1.94	3.55	3.29
	1.96	3.75	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.92)	3.7 ↑ (3.69)	3.2 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitehawk
46.7%

Draw
24.7%

Welling United
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

24.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

21.1%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitehawk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Whitehawk than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Whitehawk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Whitehawk - Welling United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Sach B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 2, Chambers L. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, Lambert C. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Whitehawk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Welling is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Whitehawk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Welling has had a series of home games.

Whitehawk could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Whitehawk won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Whitehawk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Welling United - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 27.2%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitehawk
English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.12.25	Canvey Island - Whitehawk	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Whitehawk - Ramsgate	2:2 ✺
25.11.25	Whitehawk - Dartford	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Potters Bar Town - Whitehawk	2:3 ✺
15.11.25	Whitehawk - Billericay Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLWT
- Welling United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.11.25	Welling United - Cheshunt	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Welling United - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Billericay Town - Welling United	6:1 ✺
15.11.25	Welling United - Cray Wanderers	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Welling United - Burgess Hill Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
14.04.18	Whitehawk - Welling United	2:1
12.09.17	Welling United - Whitehawk	1:0
04.03.17	Whitehawk - Welling United	1:0
22.10.16	Welling United - Whitehawk	1:2
English FA Cup
15.10.16	Welling United - Whitehawk	0:1

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