Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 22

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Welling United		Potters Bar Town

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.5	3.2
	1.37	4.95	5.5
	1.42	5.92	4.59
	1.42	5.52	5.02	Watch
	1.36	5	5
	1.34	5.1	6.27
	1.9	3.8	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (2.3)	4.83 ↑ (3.58)	4.7 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
60.8%

Draw
19.3%

Potters Bar Town
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

25.4%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

24.7%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Welling United's performance.

Potters Bar Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Potters Bar Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-22.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Welling United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potters Bar Town than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Potters Bar Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Welling United - Potters Bar Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Gunner D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Welling have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Potters Bar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Welling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Welling might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Welling: 14.94%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Welling	10	8	0	2	20:9	11	24

Last Results with these Odds

Welling United - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.46%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Potters Bar Town - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.18%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.04.26	Welling United - Dulwich Hamlet	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Brentwood Town - Welling United	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Welling United - Chichester City	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Wingate & Finchley - Welling United	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Welling United - Whitehawk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWTW
- Potters Bar Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.04.26	Potters Bar Town - Chichester City	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Cheshunt - Potters Bar Town	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Potters Bar Town - Lewes	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Potters Bar Town	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Cray Wanderers - Potters Bar Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.03.26	Potters Bar Town - Welling United	2:4

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