Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 40

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Welling United		Dulwich Hamlet

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.65	2.78
	2.16	3.82	2.73
	2.1	4.09	2.73	Watch
	2.1	3.5	2.7
	2.19	3.42	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.46)	3.7 ↓ (3.75)	2.76 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
42.6%

Draw
24.5%

Dulwich Hamlet
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

24.5%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

24%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Welling United's performance.

Dulwich Hamlet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dulwich Hamlet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Welling United - Dulwich Hamlet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Gunner D. ⚽,
64', 2 - 0, Howard T. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Welling won 2.

Welling is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dulwich's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Welling won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Welling won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Welling: 14.94% Dulwich Hamlet: 6.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Welling	10	8	0	2	20:9	11	24
7	Dulwich Hamlet	8	5	1	2	18:9	9	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.04.26	Brentwood Town - Welling United	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Welling United - Chichester City	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Wingate & Finchley - Welling United	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Welling United - Whitehawk	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Potters Bar Town - Welling United	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWTWW
- Dulwich Hamlet
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.04.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Canvey Island - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Potters Bar Town	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Billericay Town	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Lewes - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.09.25	Dulwich Hamlet - Welling United	3:1
English National League South
14.01.23	Welling United - Dulwich Hamlet	2:4
29.08.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Welling United	1:2
15.02.22	Welling United - Dulwich Hamlet	1:3
02.01.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Welling United	0:1
15.02.20	Dulwich Hamlet - Welling United	0:1
12.11.19	Welling United - Dulwich Hamlet	0:0

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