Match Info

A-League - Round 2

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Sky Stadium (Wellington)

Referee: Elder D. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV 2 Asia
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
India	Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV 2, Vidio
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV 2
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
Philippines	SPOTV 2
Singapore	SPOTV 2
Thailand	SPOTV 2, True ID, True Premier Football 4
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 7
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV 2


	Wellington Phoenix		Brisbane Roar

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.57	Watch
	2.72	3.25	2.52	Watch
	2.88	3.7	2.42
	2.25	3.68	2.92	Watch
	2.62	3.25	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.21)	3.42 ↓ (3.61)	2.67 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Phoenix
36.3%

Draw
28%

Brisbane Roar
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

25.7%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wellington Phoenix's form might have worsened.

Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Brisbane will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Wellington (1.94) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.25 - Brisbane (2.05) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Wellington (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Brisbane (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oluwayemi J. (G) 6. Payne T. 4. James M. 27. Sheridan M. 18. Kelly-Heald L. 14. Rufer A. 5. Conchie F. 9. Ishige H. 25. Nagasawa K. 11. Armiento C. 7. Eze I.	1. Bouzanis D. (G) 2. Salas Y. 12. Herrington L. 77. Stajic M. 15. Bility H. 23. McGarry J. 10. Vrakas G. 26. O'Shea J. 8. Klein S. 9. Long Ch. 17. Vidic J.
Substitutes
29. Brooke-Smith L. 37. Cassidy A. 24. Loke T. 40. McCarron E. (G) 3. Piper C. 17. Sloane-Rodrigues G. 39. Smith J.	21. Burke-Gilroy A. 11. Freke M. (G) 44. Lauton J. 30. MacNicol Q. 31. Maieroni N. 19. Ruhs M. 4. Warland B.
Coaches
Italiano G.	Valkanis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Payne T. ↓, Loke T. ↑,
42', 0 - 1, Vidic J. ⚽, McGarry J. (A),
45+3', McGarry J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Eze I. 🟨,
61', Conchie F. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
64', Vidic J. 🟨,
66', Ishige H. ↓, Piper C. ↑,
66', McGarry J. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
66', Vrakas G. ↓, Burke-Gilroy A. ↑,
66', Long Ch. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Nagasawa K. ⚽, Piper C. (A),
80', Stajic M. ↓, Maieroni N. ↑,
87', Bility H. ↓, Warland B. ↑,
90+1', Maieroni N. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 1, Armiento C. ⚽, Piper C. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Wellington: Kelly-Heald A. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N. (Muscle Injury) Halloran B. (Knee Injury) Ludwik A. (Groin Injury) Valkanis D. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Wellington: Payne T. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:18. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 2.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League
18.10.25	Perth Glory - Wellington Phoenix	2:2 ✺
Australian Cup
19.08.25	Heidelberg United - Wellington Phoenix	4:0 ✺
10.08.25	Nunawading City - Wellington Phoenix	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Perth Glory - Wellington Phoenix	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Wellington Phoenix - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TLWWW
- Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League
17.10.25	Brisbane Roar - Macarthur FC	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar	1:3 ✺
02.08.25	Brisbane Roar - Auckland FC	2:2 ✺
Australian Cup
14.05.25	Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar	1:0 ✺
Australian A-League
02.05.25	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Cup
14.05.25	Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar	1:0
Australian A-League
26.04.25	Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix	1:0
05.02.25	Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar	1:1
30.03.24	Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar	1:0
02.02.24	Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix	1:1
04.11.23	Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar	5:2
15.04.23	Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar	2:2

Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide