Match Info

A-League - Round 12

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)

Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV Asia
Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV, Vidio
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
Philippines	SPOTV
South-korea	SPOTV
Thailand	SPOTV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV


	Brisbane Roar		Auckland FC

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.95	3.25	1.98	Watch
	3.69	3.39	2.05	Watch
	3.75	3.1	2
	3.85	3.44	2.06
	3.6	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.15)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)	2 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Roar
24.9%

Draw
28%

Auckland FC
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

28%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

28.5%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.9%	15.6%	35.6%

Brisbane Roar - Auckland FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 22 - 48.9%). Auckland will win (votes: 16 - 35.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane: 34.3% – 63.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Auckland (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bouzanis D. (C) 15. Bility H. 6. Ludwik A. 3. Valkanis D. 23. McGarry J. 2. Salas Y. 31. Maieroni N. 8. Klein S. 10. Vrakas G. 9. Long Ch. 13. Hore H.	1. Woud M. (G) 2. Sakai H. (C) 23. Hall D. 4. Pijnaker N. 15. De Vries F. 6. Verstraete L. 7. Howieson C. 27. Rogerson L. 77. Brook L. 21. Randall J. 9. Cosgrove S.
Substitutes
16. Dench M. 11. Freke M. (G) 44. Lauton J. 30. MacNicol Q. 33. O'Reilly J. 19. Ruhs M. 41. Shaw E.	35. Bidois J. 17. Elliot C. 11. Francois M. 8. Gallegos L. F. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 10. May G. 20. Sail O. (G)
Coaches
Valkanis M.	Corica S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Cosgrove S. ⚽,
16', Brook L. 🟨,
21', Bility H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Hore H. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
61', McGarry J. ↓, Dench M. ↑,
65', Maieroni N. 🟨,
67', Klein S. 🟨,
69', Vrakas G. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
69', Cosgrove S. ↓, May G. ↑,
69', Howieson C. ↓, Gallegos L. F. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Brook L. ⚽, Sakai H. (A),
76', Ludwik A. ↓, MacNicol Q. ↑,
76', Long Ch. ↓, Shaw E. ↑,
78', Rogerson L. ↓, Girdwood-Reich J. ↑,
86', Brook L. ↓, Francois M. ↑,
86', Sakai H. ↓, Elliot C. ↑,
90+3', Salas Y. 🟨,
90+5', Woud M. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Brisbane is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Auckland is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Auckland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Brisbane has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N. (Muscle Injury) Burke-Gilroy A. (Foot Injury) Ferkranus M. (Muscle Injury) Stajic M. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Auckland FC: 14.55% Brisbane Roar: 3.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Auckland FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League
06.01.26	Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix	0:3 ✺
31.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	1:2 ✺
19.12.25	Macarthur FC - Brisbane Roar	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLT
- Auckland FC
Australian A-League
05.01.26	Macarthur FC - Auckland FC	1:1 ✺
31.12.25	Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
19.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Auckland FC	0:2 ✺
12.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Auckland FC	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
22.11.25	Auckland FC - Brisbane Roar	1:1
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Brisbane Roar - Auckland FC	2:2
Australian A-League
30.03.25	Brisbane Roar - Auckland FC	0:2
19.10.24	Auckland FC - Brisbane Roar	2:0

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