Match Info

A-League - Round 5

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Sky Stadium (Wellington)

Referee: Barreiro J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV Asia
Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV, Vidio
Malaysia	Astro Go, SPOTV
Mongolia	SPOTV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 3
Philippines	SPOTV
South-korea	SPOTV
Thailand	SPOTV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV


	Wellington Phoenix		Macarthur FC

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.4	2.57	Watch
	2.52	3.55	2.52	Watch
	2.54	3.72	2.57
	2.44	3.73	2.63	Watch
	2.56	3.49	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.44)	3.58 ↓ (3.73)	2.62 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Phoenix
37.5%

Draw
26.5%

Macarthur FC
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

25.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Wellington Phoenix - Macarthur FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Macarthur will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Macarthur (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Macarthur FC will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Wellington (votes: 1 - 20%). Macarthur (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oluwayemi J. (G) 27. Sheridan M. 4. James M. 15. Hughes I. 18. Kelly-Heald L. 20. Najjarine R. 25. Nagasawa K. 14. Rufer A. (C) 11. Armiento C. 7. Eze I. 5. Conchie F.	12. Kurto F. (G) 25. Talbot C. 6. Uskok T. 5. Jurman M. 7. Grzan S. 22. Rose L. 26. Brattan L. (C) 19. Politidis H. 10. Caceres A. 13. Duran R. 33. Ji Dong-Won
Substitutes
50. Cassidy A. 12. Edwards D. 24. Loke T. 40. McCarron E. (G) 3. Piper C. 17. Sloane-Rodrigues G. 23. Supyk L.	21. Oliveira B. 14. Popovic K. 17. Randazzo O. 1. Robinson A. (G) 28. Sawyer H. 18. Scott W. 8. Vickery L.
Coaches
Italiano G.	Sterjovski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Rufer A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Ji Dong-Won ↓, Vickery L. ↑,
70', Najjarine R. ↓, Piper C. ↑,
76', Rose L. ↓, Randazzo O. ↑,
76', Duran R. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
81', Sheridan M. 🟨,
83', 0 - 1, Sawyer H. ⚽, Politidis H. (A),
89', Conchie F. ↓, Sloane-Rodrigues G. ↑,
89', Sheridan M. ↓, Supyk L. ↑,
90+2', Grzan S. ↓, Oliveira B. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 4.

In recent matches, Macarthur has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Wellington: Ishige H. (Injury) James M. (Inactive) Mileusnic N. (Injury) Payne T. (Inactive) Retre P. (Abdominal strain) Walker N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Macarthur: Bosnjak D. (Injury) Ikonomidis C. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Macarthur FC - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.93%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League
08.11.25	Wellington Phoenix - Auckland FC	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Perth Glory - Wellington Phoenix	2:2 ✺
Australian Cup
19.08.25	Heidelberg United - Wellington Phoenix	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWTL
- Macarthur FC
Australian A-League
08.11.25	Sydney - Macarthur FC	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
06.11.25	Macarthur FC - Cong An Ha Noi	2:1 ✺
Australian A-League
01.11.25	Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:1 ✺
27.10.25	Macarthur FC - Adelaide United	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
23.10.25	Cong An Ha Noi - Macarthur FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
20.01.25	Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix	1:2
13.12.24	Wellington Phoenix - Macarthur FC	1:2
27.04.24	Wellington Phoenix - Macarthur FC	3:0
18.02.24	Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix	1:2
18.12.23	Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix	0:3
29.04.23	Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix	0:1
12.02.23	Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix	2:1

Wellington Phoenix - Macarthur FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide