The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wellington Phoenix 67.4%
Draw 19.5%
Perth Glory 13%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59%
24.1%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.3%
23.6%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wellington Phoenix's performance.
Perth Glory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wellington Phoenix that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Wellington Phoenix - Perth Glory Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Esson V. (G) 16. Van der Meer M. 5. Walker E. 4. Barry M. (C) 21. Wall L. 14. Leon L. 32. Pijnenburg E. 7. Jale G. 23. Nunn B. 24. Vlok P. 31. Woods M.
1. Morrissey T. (G) 5. Johnston G. 29. Zogg O. 6. Mckenna T. 24. Sardo J. 23. Dalton I. (C) 3. Tovar E. 11. Tathem N. 12. Trew B. 17. Badawiya R. 10. Phonsongkham S.
Substitutes
30. Anthony M. 27. Benson Z. 15. Brazendale D. 11. Elliott M. 22. Feinberg-Danieli A. (G) 20. Main E.
2. Anderson M. 9. Hollar G. 25. Lincoln E. 19. O'Donoghue S. 30. Skinner J. (G) 27. Wainwright C.
Coaches
Priestman B.
Peters S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', 1 - 0, Woods M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wall L. ↓, Elliott M. ↑,
46', Tathem N. ↓, O'Donoghue S. ↑,
56', Leon L. ↓, Anthony M. ↑,
62', Pijnenburg E. ↓, Brazendale D. ↑,
72', Vlok P. ↓, Benson Z. ↑,
79', Badawiya R. ↓, Lincoln E. ↑,
83', Woods M. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 3.
Wellington is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Perth Glory has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Wellington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Perth Glory has had a series of home games.
In this match, Wellington is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
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Esson V. (G) 
Walker E. 
Leon L. 
Nunn B. 
Morrissey T. (G) 
Zogg O. 
Priestman B. 
Peters S. 
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