Match Info

A-League Women - Round 15

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: No. 2 Sportsground (Newcastle)

Referee: Ryan M. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 3
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Newcastle Jets		Wellington Phoenix

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.65	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.04	3.9	1.83
	3.85	3.87	1.83	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.75
	4	3.8	1.8	Watch
	3.8	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.82)	3.7 ↑ (3.65)	1.79 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Jets
24%

Draw
24.8%

Wellington Phoenix
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

24.8%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

24.3%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ritchie G. (G) 2. Wilson J. 4. Prior N. 3. Cicco C. 26. Allan J. 8. Dundas E. 10. Copus-Brown L. (C) 32. Adams C. 44. Brown K. 18. Hoban S. 14. Ayres M.	1. Esson V. (G) 5. Walker E. 4. Barry M. (C) 16. Van der Meer M. 11. Elliott M. 23. Nunn B. 7. Jale G. 32. Pijnenburg E. 24. Vlok P. 14. Leon L. 31. Woods M.
Substitutes
13. Allan L. 50. Boertje A. (G) 7. Breier I. 30. Collins A. 6. Davis C. 11. Lancaster C.	30. Anthony M. 27. Benson Z. 15. Brazendale D. 22. Feinberg-Danieli A. (G) 3. Jaber T. 21. Wall L.
Coaches
Hoyle S.	Priestman B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
10', 0 - 1, Vlok P. ⚽, Jale G. (A),
15', 0 - 2, Vlok P. ⚽, Woods M. (A),
20', 0 - 3, Pijnenburg E. ⚽, Woods M. (A),
24', 0 - 4, Walker E. ⚽, Leon L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Copus-Brown L. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
46', Adams C. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
49', Barry M. 🟨,
57', Cicco C. 🟨,
59', Leon L. 🟨,
60', Wilson J. ↓, Davis C. ↑,
60', Leon L. ↓, Benson Z. ↑,
60', Van der Meer M. ↓, Wall L. ↑,
64', 0 - 5, Vlok P. ⚽, Woods M. (A),
68', Brown K. ↓, Allan L. ↑,
70', Woods M. 🟨,
72', Vlok P. ↓, Jaber T. ↑,
72', Jale G. ↓, Brazendale D. ↑,
72', Woods M. ↓, Anthony M. ↑,
73', 1 - 5, Ayres M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 2.

Newcastle Jets has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wellington is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Newcastle Jets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wellington is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle Jets won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Jets Women
Australian A-League Women
21.01.26	Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
13.01.26	Sydney FC - Newcastle Jets	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWWLL
- Wellington Phoenix Women
Australian A-League Women
24.01.26	Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix	2:2 ✺
30.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
15.11.25	Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets	1:1
18.01.25	Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets	3:2
16.11.24	Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix	1:0
04.02.24	Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix	3:2
22.12.23	Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets	2:0
25.03.23	Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix	3:2
27.12.21	Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets	0:1

Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide