The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brisbane Roar 28.3%
Draw 25.3%
Wellington Phoenix 46.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
23.5%
45.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.6%
23.7%
46%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lincoln C. (G) 11. Seidl M. 7. Hayashi M. (C) 6. Cuthbert R. 5. Medwin A. 2. Beard A. 32. Woods A. 8. Studer J. 27. Miller A. 4. Stephenson K. 3. Brown D.
1. Esson V. (G) 5. Walker E. 4. Barry M. (C) 16. Van der Meer M. 11. Elliott M. 23. Nunn B. 7. Jale G. 32. Pijnenburg E. 14. Leon L. 31. Woods M. 30. Anthony M.
Substitutes
12. Franco T. (G) 17. Jansen B. 18. Kinsella A. 14. Kruger Z. 15. Meyers K. 22. Piazza A. 13. Yallop T.
29. Bangalan M. 15. Brazendale D. 22. Feinberg-Danieli A. (G) 8. Fraser M. 3. Jaber T. 24. Vlok P. 21. Wall L.
Coaches
Smith A.
Priestman B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Jale G. ⚽, Elliott M. (A),
8', Cuthbert R. ↓, Jansen B. ↑,
14', 1 - 1, Hayashi M. ⚽, Woods A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Stephenson K. ↓, Yallop T. ↑,
58', Leon L. ↓, Bangalan M. ↑,
69', Anthony M. ↓, Wall L. ↑,
69', Nunn B. ↓, Vlok P. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Brown D. ⚽,
90', Pijnenburg E. ↓, Fraser M. ↑,
90+4', Brown D. ↓, Meyers K. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 2.
Brisbane Roar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Wellington's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Brisbane Roar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane Roar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).