The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Canberra United 50.6%
Draw 25.3%
Wellington Phoenix 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
27.9%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
26.8%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canberra United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canberra United's performance.
Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington Phoenix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canberra United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wellington Phoenix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Canberra United (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. James S. (G) 8. Grove S. 12. Taylor-Young H. 28. Bertolissio T. 11. Robers E. 32. Gordon B. 3. Anton E. 5. Wardlow J. 6. Aulicino J. 25. Malone D. 23. Heyman M. (C)
1. Esson V. (G) 5. Walker E. 4. Barry M. (C) 16. Van der Meer M. 23. Nunn B. 32. Pijnenburg E. 7. Jale G. 21. Wall L. 31. Woods M. 14. Leon L. 20. Main E.
Substitutes
13. Christopherson S. 19. Dale S. 7. Hawkins E. 18. Majstorovic C. (G) 2. McKenzie A. 10. Stanic-Floody M.
28. Bartlett G. 27. Benson Z. 15. Brazendale D. 11. Elliott M. 22. Feinberg-Danieli A. (G) 24. Vlok P.
Coaches
Jagarinec A.
Priestman B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Bertolissio T. 🟨,
16', Jale G. 🟨,
45+3', Bertolissio T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Barry M. ↓, Elliott M. ↑,
51', Elliott M. 🟨,
56', Pijnenburg E. ↓, Vlok P. ↑,
56', Main E. ↓, Brazendale D. ↑,
65', Leon L. 🟨,
72', Malone D. ↓, Hawkins E. ↑,
81', Leon L. ↓, Benson Z. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Benson Z. ⚽,
86', Heyman M. ↓, Christopherson S. ↑,
90+3', Gordon B. 🟨,
90+5', Gordon B. ↓, Dale S. ↑,
90+6', 0 - 2, Vlok P. ⚽, Woods M. (A),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 3.
Canberra United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Wellington's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Canberra United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Canberra United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Canberra United won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
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James S. (G) 
Anton E. 
Wardlow J. 
Nunn B. 
Leon L. 
Priestman B. 
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