Match Info

Premier League - Round 34

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Welwalo Adigrat		Ethiopian Medhin

	1	X	2
	3.65	2.72	2.12
	3.75	2.84	2.09
	3.87	2.68	2.20	Watch
	3.6	2.63	2.1
	3.73	2.82	2.09
	3.65	2.63	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.65)	2.72 ↑ (2.63)	2.13 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welwalo Adigrat
24.4%

Draw
33.2%

Ethiopian Medhin
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

34.2%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

33.2%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welwalo Adigrat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ethiopian Medhin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Ethiopian Medhin aligns with the current prediction.

Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopian Medhin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 13).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ethiopian Medhin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ethiopian Medhin will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Welwalo Adigrat won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Welwalo Adigrat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ethiopian Insurance	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Welwalo Adigrat	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Ethiopian Medhin - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welwalo Adigrat University FC
Ethiopian Cup
25.05.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Mekelle 70 Enderta	1:0 penalties ✺
Ethiopian Premier League
21.05.26	Adama City - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethio Electric	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
06.05.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWTL
- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Cup
26.05.26	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopian Medhin	3:2 penalties ✺
Ethiopian Premier League
19.05.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Welayta Dicha	0:0 ✺
15.05.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
11.05.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopian Medhin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
15.01.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0
07.04.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1
29.10.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0

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