Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Welwalo Adigrat		Negele Arsi Ketema

	1	X	2
	3.45	2.58	2.28
	3.97	2.52	2.36
	4.03	2.28	2.49	Watch
	3.3	2.5	2.3
	3.83	2.47	2.3	Watch
	4	3	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (4)	2.56 ↓ (3)	2.27 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welwalo Adigrat
24.2%

Draw
35.6%

Negele Arsi Ketema
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

30%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

28.6%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welwalo Adigrat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Negele Arsi Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Negele Arsi Ketema might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Negele Arsi Ketema could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Welwalo Adigrat - Negele Arsi Ketema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 1 - 0, Maru S. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 1, Dubale G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 1 - 2, Kitika Jemma ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Negele Arsi Ketema has had a series of home games.

Negele Arsi Ketema is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Welwalo Adigrat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Welwalo Adigrat	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Negele Arsi Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welwalo Adigrat University FC
Ethiopian Premier League
30.04.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Welwalo Adigrat	2:4 ✺
Ethiopian Cup
23.04.26	Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat	0:1 penalties ✺
Ethiopian Premier League
18.04.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0 ✺
09.04.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Welayta Dicha	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWWLL
- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
30.04.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
Ethiopian Cup
25.04.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Sidama Coffee	1:2 ✺
Ethiopian Premier League
19.04.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Hadiya Hossana	1:1 ✺
13.04.26	Sheger Ketema - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:1 ✺
09.04.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
24.12.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0

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