Match Info
Premier League - Round 19Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday
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Saint George |
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Welwalo Adigrat |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.15 |
2.68 |
3.75 |
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 |
2.13 |
2.72 |
4.01 |
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 |
2.15 |
2.69 |
3.99 |
 Watch |
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2.1 |
2.5 |
3.8 |
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2.09 |
2.68 |
4.01 |
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2.1 |
2.75 |
4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.14) |
2.67 ↓
(2.77) |
3.93 ↑
(3.87) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Saint George
42.8% | Draw
34% | Welwalo Adigrat
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint George has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Welwalo Adigrat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (+1.4%)Saint George - Welwalo Adigrat Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Fitsumi T. ⚽,
- 16', 1 - 1, Teumelisan H. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Solomon F. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint George won 5.Recent form of Saint George has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Welwalo Adigrat has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Saint George may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Saint George could have a small edge in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Saint George won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).Including home matches between the teams, Saint George won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | St. George | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 2 | 54 |
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| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | -4 | 46 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 19.04.25 | Welwalo Adigrat - Saint George | 1:3 | | 27.09.24 | Saint George - Welwalo Adigrat | 2:1 | | 09.02.20 | Welwalo Adigrat - Saint George | 1:4 | | 27.01.19 | Welwalo Adigrat - Saint George | 0:1 | | 23.05.18 | Saint George - Welwalo Adigrat | 1:0 |
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