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Current Win Probability
Shire Endaselassie 24.4%
Draw 37.3%
Ethiopian Medhin 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
32.4%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
31.5%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shire Endaselassie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shire Endaselassie's form might have worsened.
Ethiopian Medhin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shire Endaselassie than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shire Endaselassie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (-3%)
Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopian Medhin Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 15).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Ethiopian Medhin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ethiopian Medhin could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sihul Shire won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
Including home match between the teams, Sihul Shire won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
Standings
2025/26
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Ethiopian Insurance
38
10
16
12
30:31
-1
46
17
Shire Endaselassie
38
9
15
14
24:32
-8
42
Last Results with these Odds
Ethiopian Medhin - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.3%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.